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Live 23 UTC
Poland Cup Round of 32 Wednesday, 28 October 2026 AET
Tychy 71HomeW
4:2Half-time 2:0
Pogoń SiedlceAwayLLLWL
482527
Tychy 71 winDrawPogoń Siedlce win
Kick-off
Wed 28 Oct
Expected goals
2.79
1.62 : 1.17
Favourite
48%
Tychy 71
Over 2.5 goals
53%
model chance
Both teams to score
56%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Tychy 71 vs Pogoń Siedlce betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.013.343.201.731.951.612.13Bet
22Bet1.973.423.731.971.831.821.93Bet
BC.Game1.883.553.651.881.841.741.93Bet
Betwinner1.933.443.851.971.831.821.93Bet
Melbet1.933.443.851.971.831.821.93Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Tychy 71 to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for Tychy 71 vs Pogoń Siedlce are 2.01 for Tychy 71 at 1xBet, 3.55 for the draw at BC.Game and 3.85 for Pogoń Siedlce at Melbet.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 96.3%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.97 (Melbet) and under 2.5 1.95 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.82 (Melbet) and no 2.13 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

75%

Our prediction

Tychy 71 or Pogoń Siedlce (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.62 : 1.17-3.3% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
53% chance1.97
BTTSBoth teams to score
56% chance1.82
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
77% chance1.30fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.62fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Tychy 71, full-time Tychy 71
29% chance3.42fair
First halfFirst-half goal
72% chance1.40fair

Tychy 71 vs Pogoń Siedlce prediction

Our Tychy 71 vs Pogoń Siedlce prediction and pick

Tychy 71 host Pogoń Siedlce on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 in the Poland Cup, and the model has Tychy 71 at 48%, the draw at 25% and Pogoń Siedlce at 27%: that is the Tychy 71 vs Pogoń Siedlce prediction in one line.

Expected goals are 1.62 for Tychy 71 and 1.17 for Pogoń Siedlce, a total of 2.79, which puts over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 56%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

The pick for Tychy 71 vs Pogoń Siedlce is tychy 71 or Pogoń Siedlce (no draw), a 75% chance. 22Bet offer the top price at 1.29. That price implies 78%, 3 points over the model figure.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Tychy 71 vs Pogoń Siedlce goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

Under 2.5 goals is rated 47% and under 3.5 69%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 77% and over 2.5 at 53%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 53%; Melbet pay 1.97.

BTTS yes stands at 56%. Tychy 71 score in 80% of simulations against a 20% clean sheet for Pogoń Siedlce; Pogoń Siedlce score in 69% while Tychy 71 shut them out 31% of the time.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Tychy 71 vs Pogoń Siedlce: 1-1 (11.6%), 1-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.4%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Tychy 71, full-time Tychy 71 leads at 29%. A goal before the break is rated 72%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market rated for Tychy 71 vs Pogoń Siedlce

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 48% / 25% / 27% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Tychy 71 to win48%2.01
Draw25%3.55
Pogoń Siedlce to win27%3.85
Tychy 71, draw no bet64%fair 1.57
Pogoń Siedlce, draw no bet36%fair 2.75

Double chance

Tychy 71 or draw73%1.25
Pogoń Siedlce or draw52%1.82
Tychy 71 or Pogoń Siedlce (no draw)75%1.29

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals77%fair 1.30
Over 2.5 goals53%1.97
Over 3.5 goals31%fair 3.27
Over 4.5 goals15%fair 6.62
Under 1.5 goals23%fair 4.29
Under 2.5 goals47%1.95
Under 3.5 goals69%fair 1.44

BTTS

Both teams to score56%1.82
Not both teams to score44%2.13

Halves

First-half goal72%fair 1.40
Over 1.5 first-half goals36%fair 2.80
Second-half goal78%fair 1.28

Team goals

Tychy 71 to score80%fair 1.25
Pogoń Siedlce to score69%fair 1.45
Tychy 71 clean sheet31%fair 3.23
Pogoń Siedlce clean sheet20%fair 5.05
Tychy 71 to win to nil29%fair 3.50
Pogoń Siedlce to win to nil18%fair 5.49

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-111.6%
1-010%
2-19.4%
2-08.1%
0-17.2%
1-26.8%

Half-time / full-time

Tychy 71 / Tychy 7129.2%
Draw / Tychy 7115.9%
Pogoń Siedlce / Pogoń Siedlce15.7%
Draw / Draw14.5%
Draw / Pogoń Siedlce10.1%

Questions about Tychy 71 vs Pogoń Siedlce

Who will win Tychy 71 vs Pogoń Siedlce?

The model gives Tychy 71 the best chance at 48%, with the draw at 25%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

What scoreline is most likely in Tychy 71 vs Pogoń Siedlce?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.6%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 53%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Tychy 71 vs Pogoń Siedlce both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 56%. Tychy 71 find the net in 80% of simulated matches and Pogoń Siedlce in 69%.

When is Tychy 71 vs Pogoń Siedlce and where is the result shown?

Tychy 71 vs Pogoń Siedlce starts at 17:30 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Tychy 71 v Pogoń SiedlceTychy 71 or Pogoń Siedlce (no draw), 75%
1.29Bet