Ekstraklasa
Motor LublinHomeWWDDW
2:2Half-time 0:1
Zaglebie LubinAwayLLWD482725
Motor Lublin winDrawZaglebie Lubin win
Motor LublinHomeWWDDWZaglebie LubinAwayLLWD- Kick-off Fri 23 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.77 1.62 : 1.15
- Favourite
- 48% Motor Lublin
- Over 2.5 goals
- 51% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 58% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.92 | 3.52 | 3.64 | 1.70 | 2.06 | 1.61 | 2.18 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Motor Lublin to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin are 1.92 for Motor Lublin at 1xBet, 3.52 for the draw at 1xBet and 3.64 for Zaglebie Lubin at 1xBet.
The best-price payout across the three results is 92.6%, several points better than any single book offers here.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.70 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.06 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.61 (1xBet) and no 2.18 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
74%
Our prediction
Motor Lublin or draw
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
51% chance1.70
BTTSBoth teams to score
58% chance1.61
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
76% chance1.31fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.55fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Motor Lublin, full-time Motor Lublin
30% chance3.39fair
First halfFirst-half goal
71% chance1.40fair
Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin prediction
Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin prediction, who wins and at what price
Motor Lublin host Zaglebie Lubin on Friday, 23 October 2026 in the Ekstraklasa, and the model has Motor Lublin at 48%, the draw at 27% and Zaglebie Lubin at 26%: that is the Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin prediction in one line.
The goal expectancy is 2.77 in total, split 1.62 to Motor Lublin and 1.15 to Zaglebie Lubin. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 51% and both teams to score 58%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Motor Lublin or draw is the main selection, rated 74%. The best price in our comparison is 1.24 at 1xBet, which implies 81%, so the model sits 6 points below the market.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Form check: Motor Lublin have won 3 of their last 5 with 11 scored and 8 conceded, Zaglebie Lubin 1 of 4 scoring 4 and conceding 7.
How many goals in Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 76%, over 2.5 at 51%, over 3.5 at 30%; under 2.5 is 49% and under 3.5 is 70%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 51%, best priced 1.70 at 1xBet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 58%, built from Motor Lublin scoring in 80% of runs and Zaglebie Lubin in 68%; clean sheets come at 32% for Motor Lublin and 20% for Zaglebie Lubin.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.7%, followed by 1-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.5%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Motor Lublin, full-time Motor Lublin is the top combination at 30%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 71%.
Every market for Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 48% / 27% / 26% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Motor Lublin to win48%1.92
Draw27%3.52
Zaglebie Lubin to win26%3.64
Motor Lublin, draw no bet65%fair 1.54
Zaglebie Lubin, draw no bet35%fair 2.87
Double chance
Motor Lublin or draw74%1.24
Zaglebie Lubin or draw52%1.79
Motor Lublin or Zaglebie Lubin (no draw)73%1.26
Goals
Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals76%fair 1.31
Over 2.5 goals51%1.70
Over 3.5 goals30%fair 3.32
Over 4.5 goals15%fair 6.76
Under 1.5 goals24%fair 4.24
Under 2.5 goals49%2.06
Under 3.5 goals70%fair 1.43
BTTS
Both teams to score58%1.61
Not both teams to score42%2.18
Halves
First-half goal71%fair 1.40
Over 1.5 first-half goals35%fair 2.82
Second-half goal78%fair 1.28
Team goals
Motor Lublin to score80%fair 1.25
Zaglebie Lubin to score68%fair 1.46
Motor Lublin clean sheet32%fair 3.15
Zaglebie Lubin clean sheet20%fair 5.05
Motor Lublin to win to nil29%fair 3.44
Zaglebie Lubin to win to nil18%fair 5.49
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-111.7%
1-010.2%
2-19.5%
2-08.2%
0-17.2%
1-26.7%
Half-time / full-time
Motor Lublin / Motor Lublin29.5%
Draw / Motor Lublin16.1%
Zaglebie Lubin / Zaglebie Lubin15.3%
Draw / Draw14.6%
Draw / Zaglebie Lubin10%
Questions about Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin
Who will win Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin?
The model gives Motor Lublin the best chance at 48%, with the draw at 27%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What scoreline is most likely in Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.7%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 51%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin?
The BTTS yes line is rated 58%. Motor Lublin find the net in 80% of simulated matches and Zaglebie Lubin in 68%.
When is Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 16:00 UTC on Friday, 23 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.