Skip to the predictions
Live 22 UTC
Poland Cup Round of 32 Wednesday, 28 October 2026 FT
Polonia ŚrodaHomeW
3:1Half-time 2:1
Śląsk Wrocław IIAwayL
392635
Polonia Środa winDrawŚląsk Wrocław II win
Kick-off
Wed 28 Oct
Expected goals
3.28
1.68 : 1.60
Favourite
39%
Polonia Środa
Over 2.5 goals
63%
model chance
Both teams to score
67%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Polonia Środa vs Śląsk Wrocław II betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.383.422.441.442.431.392.69Bet
22Bet2.443.642.601.692.101.592.28Bet
BC.Game2.403.502.601.602.221.512.32Bet
Betwinner2.443.642.601.692.101.592.28Bet
Melbet2.443.642.601.692.101.592.28Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

Ad

Polonia Środa to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Polonia Środa vs Śląsk Wrocław II prediction: Polonia Środa 2.44 (22Bet), draw 3.64 (22Bet), Śląsk Wrocław II 2.60 (BC.Game).

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 93.5%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.69 (Melbet) and under 2.5 2.43 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.59 (Melbet) and no 2.69 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

74%

Our prediction

Polonia Środa or Śląsk Wrocław II (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.68 : 1.60-6.6% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
63% chance1.69
BTTSBoth teams to score
67% chance1.59
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
84% chance1.19fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance9.90fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Polonia Środa, full-time Polonia Środa
24% chance4.12fair
First halfFirst-half goal
77% chance1.30fair

Polonia Środa vs Śląsk Wrocław II prediction

Our Polonia Środa vs Śląsk Wrocław II prediction and pick

The Polonia Środa vs Śląsk Wrocław II prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. Poland Cup on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 gives Polonia Środa a 39% chance, Śląsk Wrocław II 35% and the draw 26%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.

The goal expectancy is 3.28 in total, split 1.68 to Polonia Środa and 1.60 to Śląsk Wrocław II. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 63% and both teams to score 67%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Our main pick is polonia Środa or Śląsk Wrocław II (no draw) at 74%. 22Bet offer the top price at 1.26. That price implies 79%, 5 points over the model figure.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Polonia Środa vs Śląsk Wrocław II.

Goals forecast for Polonia Środa vs Śląsk Wrocław II with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Under 2.5 goals is rated 37% and under 3.5 59%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 84% and over 2.5 at 63%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 63%, best priced 1.69 at Melbet.

BTTS yes stands at 67%. Polonia Środa score in 81% of simulations against a 19% clean sheet for Śląsk Wrocław II; Śląsk Wrocław II score in 80% while Polonia Środa shut them out 20% of the time.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 67%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Polonia Środa vs Śląsk Wrocław II: 1-1 (10.1%), 2-1 (8.5%) and 1-2 (8.1%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 10.1% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Polonia Środa, full-time Polonia Środa leads at 24%. A goal before the break is rated 77%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, Polonia Środa vs Śląsk Wrocław II

The grid built from 1.68 and 1.60 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Polonia Środa to win39%2.44
Draw26%3.64
Śląsk Wrocław II to win35%2.60
Polonia Środa, draw no bet52%fair 1.91
Śląsk Wrocław II, draw no bet48%fair 2.10

Double chance

Polonia Środa or draw65%1.46
Śląsk Wrocław II or draw61%1.52
Polonia Środa or Śląsk Wrocław II (no draw)74%1.26

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals84%fair 1.19
Over 2.5 goals63%1.69
Over 3.5 goals42%fair 2.41
Over 4.5 goals23%fair 4.27
Under 1.5 goals16%fair 6.21
Under 2.5 goals37%2.43
Under 3.5 goals59%fair 1.71

BTTS

Both teams to score67%1.59
Not both teams to score33%2.69

Halves

First-half goal77%fair 1.30
Over 1.5 first-half goals43%fair 2.30
Second-half goal84%fair 1.20

Team goals

Polonia Środa to score81%fair 1.23
Śląsk Wrocław II to score80%fair 1.25
Polonia Środa clean sheet20%fair 4.95
Śląsk Wrocław II clean sheet19%fair 5.38
Polonia Środa to win to nil19%fair 5.38
Śląsk Wrocław II to win to nil17%fair 5.85

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-110.1%
2-18.5%
1-28.1%
2-26.8%
1-06.3%
0-16%

Half-time / full-time

Polonia Środa / Polonia Środa24.3%
Śląsk Wrocław II / Śląsk Wrocław II22%
Draw / Polonia Środa12.9%
Draw / Draw12.2%
Draw / Śląsk Wrocław II12%

Questions about Polonia Środa vs Śląsk Wrocław II

Who will win Polonia Środa vs Śląsk Wrocław II?

The model gives Polonia Środa the best chance at 39%, with the draw at 26%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

Polonia Środa vs Śląsk Wrocław II correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.1%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 63% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in Polonia Środa vs Śląsk Wrocław II?

The BTTS yes line is rated 67%. Polonia Środa find the net in 81% of simulated matches and Śląsk Wrocław II in 80%.

What time does Polonia Środa vs Śląsk Wrocław II kick off?

Kick-off is 18:00 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Polonia Środa v Śląsk Wrocław IIPolonia Środa or Śląsk Wrocław II (no draw), 74%
1.26Bet