Sporting Cristal vs Comerciantes Unidos prediction

Our Sporting Cristal vs Comerciantes Unidos prediction and pick

The Sporting Cristal vs Comerciantes Unidos prediction leans to Sporting Cristal: 77% against 8% for Comerciantes Unidos, with 16% left for the draw, in the Peru Primera División on Sunday, 18 October 2026.

Expected goals are 2.55 for Sporting Cristal and 0.74 for Comerciantes Unidos, a total of 3.29, which puts over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score at 50%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Sporting Cristal to win is the main selection, rated 77%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.30. That price implies 77%, 0 points over the model figure.

For a safer line, sporting Cristal or draw covers 93% of outcomes at 1.04.

The draw sits at only 16%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Form check: Sporting Cristal have won 4 of their last 5 with 12 scored and 8 conceded, Comerciantes Unidos 1 of 5 scoring 8 and conceding 9.

Sporting Cristal vs Comerciantes Unidos over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

Under 2.5 goals is rated 38% and under 3.5 58%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 84% and over 2.5 at 62%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 62%; 1xBet pay 1.49.

The chance of both teams scoring is 50%, built from Sporting Cristal scoring in 92% of runs and Comerciantes Unidos in 52%; clean sheets come at 48% for Sporting Cristal and 8% for Comerciantes Unidos.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Sporting Cristal vs Comerciantes Unidos: 2-0 (12.1%), 3-0 (10.3%) and 1-0 (9.5%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Sporting Cristal, full-time Sporting Cristal leads at 53%. A goal before the break is rated 77%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.