Peru Primera División
Comerciantes UnidosHomeLDLWD
3:1Half-time 1:0
CiencianoAwayDWWLW332641
Comerciantes Unidos winDrawCienciano win
Comerciantes UnidosHomeLDLWDCiencianoAwayDWWLW- Kick-off Sun 25 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.84 1.34 : 1.50
- Favourite
- 40% Cienciano
- Over 2.5 goals
- 54% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 59% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Comerciantes Unidos vs Cienciano odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.85 | 3.34 | 2.33 | 1.75 | 1.99 | 1.59 | 2.21 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.51 | 3.42 | 2.64 | 1.81 | 2.00 | 1.62 | 2.21 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.52 | 3.45 | 2.52 | 1.76 | 1.97 | 1.61 | 2.12 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.51 | 3.42 | 2.64 | 1.74 | 2.01 | 1.62 | 2.21 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.51 | 3.42 | 2.64 | 1.81 | 2.00 | 1.62 | 2.21 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Cienciano to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Comerciantes Unidos vs Cienciano are 2.85 for Comerciantes Unidos at 1xBet, 3.45 for the draw at BC.Game and 2.64 for Cienciano at Melbet.
The best-price payout across the three results is 98.1%, several points better than any single book offers here.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.81 (22Bet) and under 2.5 2.01 (Betwinner); both teams to score yes pays 1.62 (22Bet) and no 2.21 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
74%
Our prediction
Comerciantes Unidos or Cienciano (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
54% chance1.81
BTTSBoth teams to score
59% chance1.62
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
78% chance1.29fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.55fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Cienciano, full-time Cienciano
25% chance4.07fair
First halfFirst-half goal
72% chance1.39fair
Comerciantes Unidos vs Cienciano prediction
Comerciantes Unidos vs Cienciano prediction, who wins and at what price
Comerciantes Unidos vs Cienciano prediction for the Peru Primera División on Sunday, 25 October 2026: the model calls it close, Comerciantes Unidos 33%, draw 26%, Cienciano 40%. With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.
Comerciantes Unidos are expected to score 1.34 and Cienciano 1.50, so the total line is 2.84 goals; over 2.5 lands at 54% and BTTS at 59%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Comerciantes Unidos or Cienciano (no draw) is the main selection, rated 74%. At 1.29 with Melbet the market prices it at 78%, against 74% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Comerciantes Unidos average 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded across their last 5, Cienciano 1.6 and 0.8 across 5.
Comerciantes Unidos vs Cienciano goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
Under 2.5 goals is rated 46% and under 3.5 68%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 78% and over 2.5 at 54%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 54%; 22Bet pay 1.81.
BTTS yes stands at 59%. Comerciantes Unidos score in 74% of simulations against a 26% clean sheet for Cienciano; Cienciano score in 78% while Comerciantes Unidos shut them out 22% of the time.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 59%.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 11.7%, then 1-2 at 8.8% and 0-1 at 8.8%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.7% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Cienciano, full-time Cienciano leads at 25%. A goal before the break is rated 72%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Comerciantes Unidos vs Cienciano
The grid built from 1.34 and 1.50 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Comerciantes Unidos to win33%2.85
Draw26%3.45
Cienciano to win40%2.64
Comerciantes Unidos, draw no bet45%fair 2.22
Cienciano, draw no bet55%fair 1.82
Double chance
Comerciantes Unidos or draw60%1.54
Cienciano or draw67%1.49
Comerciantes Unidos or Cienciano (no draw)74%1.29
Goals
Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals78%fair 1.29
Over 2.5 goals54%1.81
Over 3.5 goals32%fair 3.15
Over 4.5 goals16%fair 6.29
Under 1.5 goals22%fair 4.46
Under 2.5 goals46%2.01
Under 3.5 goals68%fair 1.46
BTTS
Both teams to score59%1.62
Not both teams to score41%2.21
Halves
First-half goal72%fair 1.39
Over 1.5 first-half goals37%fair 2.74
Second-half goal79%fair 1.27
Team goals
Comerciantes Unidos to score74%fair 1.36
Cienciano to score78%fair 1.29
Comerciantes Unidos clean sheet22%fair 4.48
Cienciano clean sheet26%fair 3.82
Comerciantes Unidos to win to nil21%fair 4.88
Cienciano to win to nil24%fair 4.15
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-111.7%
1-28.8%
0-18.8%
2-17.9%
1-07.8%
0-26.6%
Half-time / full-time
Cienciano / Cienciano24.6%
Comerciantes Unidos / Comerciantes Unidos19.8%
Draw / Draw14.5%
Draw / Cienciano14%
Draw / Comerciantes Unidos11.9%
Questions about Comerciantes Unidos vs Cienciano
Comerciantes Unidos or Cienciano: which side does the model back?
The model gives Cienciano the best chance at 40%, with the draw at 26%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What scoreline is most likely in Comerciantes Unidos vs Cienciano?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.7%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 54%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Comerciantes Unidos vs Cienciano?
The BTTS yes line is rated 59%. Comerciantes Unidos find the net in 74% of simulated matches and Cienciano in 78%.
What time does Comerciantes Unidos vs Cienciano kick off?
Comerciantes Unidos vs Cienciano starts at 16:00 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.