Peru Primera División
Sporting CristalHomeWWWLW
3:2Half-time 2:2
Alianza LimaAwayWWWWL343036
Sporting Cristal winDrawAlianza Lima win
Sporting CristalHomeWWWLWAlianza LimaAwayWWWWL- Kick-off Thu 29 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.52 1.25 : 1.27
- Favourite
- 35% Alianza Lima
- Over 2.5 goals
- 46% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 53% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.67 | 3.26 | 2.47 | 2.01 | 1.74 | 1.77 | 1.94 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.53 | 3.13 | 2.83 | 2.11 | 1.73 | 1.82 | 1.93 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.46 | 3.15 | 2.78 | 2.02 | 1.73 | 1.78 | 1.88 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.53 | 3.13 | 2.83 | 2.11 | 1.73 | 1.74 | 2.03 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.53 | 3.13 | 2.83 | 2.11 | 1.73 | 1.74 | 2.03 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Alianza Lima to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima are 2.67 for Sporting Cristal at 1xBet, 3.26 for the draw at 1xBet and 2.83 for Alianza Lima at 22Bet.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 96.6%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.11 (Betwinner) and under 2.5 1.74 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.82 (22Bet) and no 2.03 (Melbet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
70%
Our prediction
Sporting Cristal or Alianza Lima (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
54% chance1.74
BTTSBoth teams to score
53% chance1.82
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
72% chance1.39fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.81fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Alianza Lima, full-time Alianza Lima
22% chance4.65fair
First halfFirst-half goal
68% chance1.47fair
Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima prediction
Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima prediction, who wins and at what price
Nothing separates the sides in the Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima prediction for Thursday, 29 October 2026: 34% home, 30% draw and 35% away in the Peru Primera División. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.
The goal expectancy is 2.52 in total, split 1.25 to Sporting Cristal and 1.27 to Alianza Lima. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 46% and both teams to score 53%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is sporting Cristal or Alianza Lima (no draw) at 70%. Melbet offer the top price at 1.33. That price implies 75%, 6 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima.
A 30% draw chance is high for this level and argues against backing either side to win outright.
Over the last 5 matches Sporting Cristal stand at 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats; Alianza Lima show 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats in 5.
Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
Under 2.5 goals is rated 54% and under 3.5 75%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 72% and over 2.5 at 46%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 54%; 1xBet pay 1.74.
Both teams to score is 53%: Sporting Cristal find the net in 71% of simulated matches and Alianza Lima in 72%. Sporting Cristal keep a clean sheet 28% of the time and Alianza Lima 29%.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 12.8%, then 0-1 at 10.2% and 1-0 at 10.1%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.8% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Alianza Lima, full-time Alianza Lima is the top combination at 22%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 68%.
Every market for Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Sporting Cristal to win34%2.67
Draw30%3.26
Alianza Lima to win35%2.83
Sporting Cristal, draw no bet49%fair 2.04
Alianza Lima, draw no bet51%fair 1.96
Double chance
Sporting Cristal or draw65%1.47
Alianza Lima or draw66%1.48
Sporting Cristal or Alianza Lima (no draw)70%1.33
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals72%fair 1.39
Over 2.5 goals46%2.11
Over 3.5 goals25%fair 4.05
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 8.93
Under 1.5 goals28%fair 3.53
Under 2.5 goals54%1.74
Under 3.5 goals75%fair 1.33
BTTS
Both teams to score53%1.82
Not both teams to score47%2.03
Halves
First-half goal68%fair 1.47
Over 1.5 first-half goals31%fair 3.19
Second-half goal75%fair 1.33
Team goals
Sporting Cristal to score71%fair 1.40
Alianza Lima to score72%fair 1.39
Sporting Cristal clean sheet28%fair 3.56
Alianza Lima clean sheet29%fair 3.48
Sporting Cristal to win to nil26%fair 3.88
Alianza Lima to win to nil26%fair 3.79
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.8%
0-110.2%
1-010.1%
1-28.1%
0-08%
2-18%
Half-time / full-time
Alianza Lima / Alianza Lima21.5%
Sporting Cristal / Sporting Cristal20.9%
Draw / Draw16.7%
Draw / Alianza Lima13.5%
Draw / Sporting Cristal13.2%
Questions about Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima
Who will win Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima?
The model gives Alianza Lima the best chance at 35%, with the draw at 30%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What is the correct score prediction for Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.8%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 46% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima?
The BTTS yes line is rated 53%. Sporting Cristal find the net in 71% of simulated matches and Alianza Lima in 72%.
When is Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 20:30 UTC on Thursday, 29 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.