Cusco vs Sporting Cristal prediction

Cusco vs Sporting Cristal prediction, who wins and at what price

The Cusco vs Sporting Cristal prediction leans to Cusco: 48% against 26% for Sporting Cristal, with 26% left for the draw, in the Peru Primera División on Saturday, 24 October 2026.

Cusco are expected to score 1.72 and Sporting Cristal 1.23, so the total line is 2.95 goals; over 2.5 lands at 56% and BTTS at 60%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Cusco or Sporting Cristal (no draw) is the main selection, rated 74%. At 1.26 with 1xBet the market prices it at 79%, against 74% from the model.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Cusco vs Sporting Cristal.

Form check: Cusco have won 2 of their last 5 with 6 scored and 6 conceded, Sporting Cristal 4 of 5 scoring 12 and conceding 8.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Cusco vs Sporting Cristal

Under 2.5 goals is rated 44% and under 3.5 66%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 79% and over 2.5 at 56%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 56%; 1xBet pay 1.67.

BTTS yes stands at 60%. Cusco score in 82% of simulations against a 18% clean sheet for Sporting Cristal; Sporting Cristal score in 71% while Cusco shut them out 29% of the time.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 60%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.1%, followed by 2-1 (9.5%) and 1-0 (9%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.1% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Cusco, full-time Cusco is the top combination at 30%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 74%.