Peru Primera División
Alianza AtleticoHomeWLLWW
1:4Half-time 0:3
UniversitarioAwayLDWWW283042
Alianza Atletico winDrawUniversitario win
Alianza AtleticoHomeWLLWWUniversitarioAwayLDWWW- Kick-off Sun 18 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.57 1.14 : 1.43
- Favourite
- 42% Universitario
- Over 2.5 goals
- 47% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 53% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Alianza Atletico vs Universitario betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 3.32 | 3.36 | 2.08 | 1.95 | 1.78 | 1.76 | 1.96 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Universitario to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Alianza Atletico vs Universitario are 3.32 for Alianza Atletico at 1xBet, 3.36 for the draw at 1xBet and 2.08 for Universitario at 1xBet.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 92.6%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.95 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.78 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.76 (1xBet) and no 1.96 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
72%
Our prediction
Universitario or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
53% chance1.78
BTTSBoth teams to score
53% chance1.76
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
73% chance1.38fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance8.00fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Universitario, full-time Universitario
26% chance3.83fair
First halfFirst-half goal
69% chance1.46fair
Alianza Atletico vs Universitario prediction
Our Alianza Atletico vs Universitario prediction and pick
Universitario are marginally ahead in the Alianza Atletico vs Universitario prediction, rated 42% to win this Peru Primera División match on Sunday, 18 October 2026. Alianza Atletico sit at 28% and the draw at 30%.
Alianza Atletico are expected to score 1.14 and Universitario 1.43, so the total line is 2.57 goals; over 2.5 lands at 47% and BTTS at 53%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Our main pick is universitario or draw at 72%. At 1.28 with 1xBet the market prices it at 78%, against 72% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
A 30% draw chance is high for this level and argues against backing either side to win outright.
Form check: Alianza Atletico have won 3 of their last 5 with 9 scored and 11 conceded, Universitario 3 of 5 scoring 12 and conceding 8.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Alianza Atletico vs Universitario
On the goal lines Alianza Atletico vs Universitario reads 73% for over 1.5, 47% for over 2.5 and 26% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 53%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 53%; 1xBet pay 1.78.
BTTS yes stands at 53%. Alianza Atletico score in 68% of simulations against a 32% clean sheet for Universitario; Universitario score in 76% while Alianza Atletico shut them out 24% of the time.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.5%, followed by 0-1 (10.9%) and 1-2 (8.9%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.5% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Universitario, full-time Universitario leads at 26%. A goal before the break is rated 69%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Alianza Atletico vs Universitario
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Alianza Atletico vs Universitario, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Alianza Atletico to win28%3.32
Draw30%3.36
Universitario to win42%2.08
Alianza Atletico, draw no bet40%fair 2.51
Universitario, draw no bet60%fair 1.66
Double chance
Alianza Atletico or draw58%1.67
Universitario or draw72%1.28
Alianza Atletico or Universitario (no draw)70%1.28
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals73%fair 1.38
Over 2.5 goals47%1.95
Over 3.5 goals26%fair 3.89
Over 4.5 goals12%fair 8.47
Under 1.5 goals27%fair 3.66
Under 2.5 goals53%1.78
Under 3.5 goals74%fair 1.35
BTTS
Both teams to score53%1.76
Not both teams to score47%1.96
Halves
First-half goal69%fair 1.46
Over 1.5 first-half goals32%fair 3.11
Second-half goal76%fair 1.32
Team goals
Alianza Atletico to score68%fair 1.47
Universitario to score76%fair 1.31
Alianza Atletico clean sheet24%fair 4.18
Universitario clean sheet32%fair 3.13
Alianza Atletico to win to nil22%fair 4.55
Universitario to win to nil29%fair 3.40
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.5%
0-110.9%
1-28.9%
1-08.7%
0-27.8%
0-07.7%
Half-time / full-time
Universitario / Universitario26.1%
Alianza Atletico / Alianza Atletico17.1%
Draw / Draw16.2%
Draw / Universitario15.3%
Draw / Alianza Atletico11.2%
Questions about Alianza Atletico vs Universitario
Who will win Alianza Atletico vs Universitario?
The model gives Universitario the best chance at 42%, with the draw at 30%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What is the correct score prediction for Alianza Atletico vs Universitario?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.5%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 47%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Alianza Atletico vs Universitario?
The BTTS yes line is rated 53%. Alianza Atletico find the net in 68% of simulated matches and Universitario in 76%.
When is Alianza Atletico vs Universitario and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 20:30 UTC on Sunday, 18 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.