Peru Primera División
FC CajamarcaHomeLDLLL
0:1Half-time 0:0
UCV MoqueguaAwayLWLLD522622
FC Cajamarca winDrawUCV Moquegua win
FC CajamarcaHomeLDLLLUCV MoqueguaAwayLWLLD- Kick-off Sun 18 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.77 1.72 : 1.05
- Favourite
- 52% FC Cajamarca
- Over 2.5 goals
- 52% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 54% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
FC Cajamarca vs UCV Moquegua betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.82 | 3.60 | 3.96 | 1.83 | 1.90 | 1.73 | 2.00 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
FC Cajamarca to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best FC Cajamarca price at 1.82, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.60 and 1xBet have UCV Moquegua longest at 3.96.
The best-price payout across the three results is 92.6%, several points better than any single book offers here.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.83 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.90 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.73 (1xBet) and no 2.00 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
52%
Our prediction
FC Cajamarca to win
Double chanceFC Cajamarca or draw
78% chance1.21
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
52% chance1.83
BTTSBoth teams to score
54% chance1.73
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
76% chance1.31fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance8.85fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time FC Cajamarca, full-time FC Cajamarca
33% chance3.03fair
FC Cajamarca vs UCV Moquegua prediction
Our FC Cajamarca vs UCV Moquegua prediction and pick
FC Cajamarca vs UCV Moquegua prediction for the Peru Primera División on Sunday, 18 October 2026: the model makes FC Cajamarca a narrow favourite at 52%, with the draw at 26% and UCV Moquegua at 22%.
FC Cajamarca are expected to score 1.72 and UCV Moquegua 1.05, so the total line is 2.77 goals; over 2.5 lands at 52% and BTTS at 54%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is fC Cajamarca to win at 52%. The best price in our comparison is 1.82 at 1xBet, which implies 55%, so the model sits 3 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on FC Cajamarca vs UCV Moquegua.
FC Cajamarca or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 78% chance, priced 1.21.
Over the last 5 matches FC Cajamarca stand at 0 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; UCV Moquegua show 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats in 5.
How many goals in FC Cajamarca vs UCV Moquegua? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 76%, over 2.5 at 52%, over 3.5 at 30%; under 2.5 is 48% and under 3.5 is 70%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 52%; 1xBet pay 1.83.
The chance of both teams scoring is 54%, built from FC Cajamarca scoring in 82% of runs and UCV Moquegua in 65%; clean sheets come at 35% for FC Cajamarca and 18% for UCV Moquegua.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for FC Cajamarca vs UCV Moquegua: 1-1 (11.3%), 1-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.7%).
With the top scoreline at 11.3%, correct score stays a long-odds market for FC Cajamarca vs UCV Moquegua; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time FC Cajamarca, full-time FC Cajamarca leads at 33%. A goal before the break is rated 71%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for FC Cajamarca vs UCV Moquegua
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for FC Cajamarca vs UCV Moquegua, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
FC Cajamarca to win52%1.82
Draw26%3.60
UCV Moquegua to win22%3.96
FC Cajamarca, draw no bet70%fair 1.42
UCV Moquegua, draw no bet30%fair 3.36
Double chance
FC Cajamarca or draw78%1.21
UCV Moquegua or draw48%1.89
FC Cajamarca or UCV Moquegua (no draw)74%1.25
Goals
Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals76%fair 1.31
Over 2.5 goals52%1.83
Over 3.5 goals30%fair 3.32
Over 4.5 goals15%fair 6.76
Under 1.5 goals24%fair 4.24
Under 2.5 goals48%1.90
Under 3.5 goals70%fair 1.43
BTTS
Both teams to score54%1.73
Not both teams to score46%2.00
Halves
First-half goal71%fair 1.40
Over 1.5 first-half goals35%fair 2.82
Second-half goal78%fair 1.28
Team goals
FC Cajamarca to score82%fair 1.22
UCV Moquegua to score65%fair 1.54
FC Cajamarca clean sheet35%fair 2.86
UCV Moquegua clean sheet18%fair 5.59
FC Cajamarca to win to nil32%fair 3.11
UCV Moquegua to win to nil17%fair 6.06
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-111.3%
1-010.8%
2-19.7%
2-09.3%
0-16.6%
0-06.3%
Half-time / full-time
FC Cajamarca / FC Cajamarca33%
Draw / FC Cajamarca17.3%
Draw / Draw14.3%
UCV Moquegua / UCV Moquegua12.9%
Draw / UCV Moquegua8.7%
Questions about FC Cajamarca vs UCV Moquegua
Who will win FC Cajamarca vs UCV Moquegua?
The model gives FC Cajamarca the best chance at 52%, with the draw at 26%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What is the correct score prediction for FC Cajamarca vs UCV Moquegua?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.3%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 52% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in FC Cajamarca vs UCV Moquegua?
The BTTS yes line is rated 54%. FC Cajamarca find the net in 82% of simulated matches and UCV Moquegua in 65%.
What time does FC Cajamarca vs UCV Moquegua kick off?
FC Cajamarca vs UCV Moquegua starts at 18:15 UTC on Sunday, 18 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.