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Peru Primera División Clausura - 14 Thursday, 29 October 2026 FT
CiencianoHomeDWWLW
3:0Half-time 0:0
Atletico GrauAwayDLDLL
78148
Cienciano winDrawAtletico Grau win
Kick-off
Thu 29 Oct
Expected goals
3.36
2.63 : 0.73
Favourite
78%
Cienciano
Over 2.5 goals
65%
model chance
Both teams to score
48%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Cienciano vs Atletico Grau odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.245.809.901.442.431.891.81Bet
22Bet1.265.5211.001.542.382.021.74Bet
BC.Game1.265.409.601.502.461.921.75Bet
Betwinner1.255.609.901.492.301.941.77Bet
Melbet1.265.5211.001.542.382.021.74Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Cienciano to win partner prices

BC.Game pay the best Cienciano price at 1.26, 1xBet lead the draw at 5.80 and 22Bet have Atletico Grau longest at 11.00.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 94.6%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.54 (Melbet) and under 2.5 2.46 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 2.02 (Melbet) and no 1.81 (1xBet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

78%

Our prediction

Cienciano to win
BankerExpected goals 2.63 : 0.73-2.2% against the best price
Double chanceCienciano or draw
92% chance1.02
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
65% chance1.54
BTTSNot both teams to score
52% chance1.81
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
85% chance1.18fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
12% chance8.33fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Cienciano, full-time Cienciano
55% chance1.83fair

Cienciano vs Atletico Grau prediction

Cienciano vs Atletico Grau prediction and best bet

Cienciano vs Atletico Grau prediction for the Peru Primera División on Thursday, 29 October 2026: the model makes Cienciano the clear favourite at 78%, with the draw at 14% and Atletico Grau at 8%.

The goal expectancy is 3.36 in total, split 2.63 to Cienciano and 0.73 to Atletico Grau. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 65% and both teams to score 48%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Cienciano to win is the main selection, rated 78%. The best price in our comparison is 1.26 at BC.Game, which implies 79%, so the model sits 2 points below the market.

Cienciano or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 92% chance, priced 1.02.

With the draw down at 14%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Cienciano average 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded across their last 5, Atletico Grau 0.6 and 2.0 across 5.

Goals forecast for Cienciano vs Atletico Grau with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

On the goal lines Cienciano vs Atletico Grau reads 85% for over 1.5, 65% for over 2.5 and 43% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 36%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 65%, best priced 1.54 at Melbet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 48%, built from Cienciano scoring in 93% of runs and Atletico Grau in 52%; clean sheets come at 48% for Cienciano and 7% for Atletico Grau.

Correct score: 2-0 leads at 12%, then 3-0 at 10.5% and 1-0 at 9.1%.

With the top scoreline at 12%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Cienciano vs Atletico Grau; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Cienciano, full-time Cienciano is the top combination at 55%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 78%.

Every market for Cienciano vs Atletico Grau

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Cienciano vs Atletico Grau, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Cienciano to win78%1.26
Draw14%5.80
Atletico Grau to win8%11.00
Cienciano, draw no bet90%fair 1.11
Atletico Grau, draw no bet10%fair 10.31

Double chance

Cienciano or draw92%1.02
Atletico Grau or draw22%3.68
Cienciano or Atletico Grau (no draw)86%1.13

Goals

Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals85%fair 1.18
Over 2.5 goals65%1.54
Over 3.5 goals43%fair 2.31
Over 4.5 goals25%fair 4.03
Under 1.5 goals15%fair 6.58
Under 2.5 goals36%2.46
Under 3.5 goals57%fair 1.76

BTTS

Both teams to score48%2.02
Not both teams to score52%1.81

Halves

First-half goal78%fair 1.28
Over 1.5 first-half goals45%fair 2.24
Second-half goal84%fair 1.19

Team goals

Cienciano to score93%fair 1.08
Atletico Grau to score52%fair 1.93
Cienciano clean sheet48%fair 2.07
Atletico Grau clean sheet7%fair 13.89
Cienciano to win to nil44%fair 2.26
Atletico Grau to win to nil7%fair 15.15

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

2-012%
3-010.5%
1-09.1%
2-18.8%
3-17.7%
4-06.9%

Half-time / full-time

Cienciano / Cienciano54.7%
Draw / Cienciano20%
Draw / Draw8.3%
Atletico Grau / Atletico Grau4.2%
Draw / Atletico Grau3.2%

Questions about Cienciano vs Atletico Grau

Who will win Cienciano vs Atletico Grau?

The model gives Cienciano the best chance at 78%, with the draw at 14%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

Cienciano vs Atletico Grau correct score: what does the model say?

2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 12%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 65% backs the same picture with less variance.

Cienciano vs Atletico Grau both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 48%. Cienciano find the net in 93% of simulated matches and Atletico Grau in 52%.

When is Cienciano vs Atletico Grau and where is the result shown?

Kick-off is 00:00 UTC on Thursday, 29 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Cienciano v Atletico GrauCienciano to win, 78%
1.26Bet