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Peru Primera División Clausura - 14 Wednesday, 28 October 2026 FT
ADTHomeWDLDW
2:0Half-time 1:0
UCV MoqueguaAwayLWLLD
672013
ADT winDrawUCV Moquegua win
Kick-off
Wed 28 Oct
Expected goals
2.93
2.12 : 0.81
Favourite
67%
ADT
Over 2.5 goals
56%
model chance
Both teams to score
50%
model chance
Prices compared
2
in the odds table

ADT vs UCV Moquegua odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.454.306.281.722.031.841.86Bet
22Bet1.524.056.081.812.001.871.87Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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ADT to win partner prices

22Bet pay the best ADT price at 1.52, 1xBet lead the draw at 4.30 and 1xBet have UCV Moquegua longest at 6.28.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 95.3%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.81 (22Bet) and under 2.5 2.03 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.87 (22Bet) and no 1.87 (22Bet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

67%

Our prediction

ADT to win
BankerExpected goals 2.12 : 0.81+2.4% against the best price
Double chanceADT or draw
88% chance1.11
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
56% chance1.81
BTTSBoth teams to score
50% chance1.87
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
79% chance1.27fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
12% chance8.33fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time ADT, full-time ADT
45% chance2.24fair

ADT vs UCV Moquegua prediction

Our ADT vs UCV Moquegua prediction and pick

ADT host UCV Moquegua on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 in the Peru Primera División, and the model has ADT at 67%, the draw at 20% and UCV Moquegua at 12%: that is the ADT vs UCV Moquegua prediction in one line.

The goal expectancy is 2.93 in total, split 2.12 to ADT and 0.81 to UCV Moquegua. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 56% and both teams to score 50%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

The pick for ADT vs UCV Moquegua is aDT to win, a 67% chance. At 1.52 with 22Bet the market prices it at 66%, against 67% from the model.

For a safer line, aDT or draw covers 88% of outcomes at 1.11.

With the draw down at 20%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

ADT average 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded across their last 5, UCV Moquegua 0.2 and 1.0 across 5.

ADT vs UCV Moquegua goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 79%, over 2.5 at 56%, over 3.5 at 34%; under 2.5 is 44% and under 3.5 is 66%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 56%, best priced 1.81 at 22Bet.

BTTS yes stands at 50%. ADT score in 88% of simulations against a 12% clean sheet for UCV Moquegua; UCV Moquegua score in 56% while ADT shut them out 45% of the time.

The most likely scoreline is 2-0 at 12%, followed by 1-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.7%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time ADT, full-time ADT is the top combination at 45%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 73%.

All markets, ADT vs UCV Moquegua

The grid built from 2.12 and 0.81 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

ADT to win67%1.52
Draw20%4.30
UCV Moquegua to win12%6.28
ADT, draw no bet85%fair 1.18
UCV Moquegua, draw no bet15%fair 6.49

Double chance

ADT or draw88%1.11
UCV Moquegua or draw33%2.55
ADT or UCV Moquegua (no draw)80%1.22

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals79%fair 1.27
Over 2.5 goals56%1.81
Over 3.5 goals34%fair 2.97
Over 4.5 goals17%fair 5.78
Under 1.5 goals21%fair 4.76
Under 2.5 goals44%2.03
Under 3.5 goals66%fair 1.51

BTTS

Both teams to score50%1.87
Not both teams to score50%1.87

Halves

First-half goal73%fair 1.37
Over 1.5 first-half goals38%fair 2.63
Second-half goal80%fair 1.25

Team goals

ADT to score88%fair 1.14
UCV Moquegua to score56%fair 1.80
ADT clean sheet45%fair 2.25
UCV Moquegua clean sheet12%fair 8.33
ADT to win to nil41%fair 2.44
UCV Moquegua to win to nil11%fair 9.09

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

2-012%
1-011.3%
2-19.7%
1-19.2%
3-08.5%
3-16.9%

Half-time / full-time

ADT / ADT44.6%
Draw / ADT20%
Draw / Draw11.7%
UCV Moquegua / UCV Moquegua7%
Draw / UCV Moquegua5.2%

Questions about ADT vs UCV Moquegua

Who will win ADT vs UCV Moquegua?

The model gives ADT the best chance at 67%, with the draw at 20%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

ADT vs UCV Moquegua correct score: what does the model say?

2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 12%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 56%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Will both teams score in ADT vs UCV Moquegua?

The BTTS yes line is rated 50%. ADT find the net in 88% of simulated matches and UCV Moquegua in 56%.

When is ADT vs UCV Moquegua and where is the result shown?

Kick-off is 16:00 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, ADT v UCV MoqueguaADT to win, 67%
1.52Bet