Norway 1. Division
SogndalHomeDWWLL
2:1Half-time 0:0
RaufossAwayDLLLL681814
Sogndal winDrawRaufoss win
SogndalHomeDWWLLRaufossAwayDLLLL- Kick-off Wed 21 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.68 2.58 : 1.10
- Favourite
- 68% Sogndal
- Over 2.5 goals
- 71% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 62% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Best odds for Sogndal vs Raufoss
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.39 | 4.80 | 6.57 | 1.33 | 2.83 | 1.52 | 2.37 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Sogndal to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Sogndal vs Raufoss prediction: Sogndal 1.39 (1xBet), draw 4.80 (1xBet), Raufoss 6.57 (1xBet).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 92.6%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.33 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.83 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.52 (1xBet) and no 2.37 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
68%
Our prediction
Sogndal to win
Double chanceSogndal or draw
86% chance1.08
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
71% chance1.33
BTTSBoth teams to score
62% chance1.52
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
88% chance1.13fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-1
9% chance10.87fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Sogndal, full-time Sogndal
47% chance2.12fair
Sogndal vs Raufoss prediction
Our Sogndal vs Raufoss prediction and pick
Sogndal host Raufoss on Wednesday, 21 October 2026 in the Norway 1. Division, and the model has Sogndal at 68%, the draw at 18% and Raufoss at 14%: that is the Sogndal vs Raufoss prediction in one line.
Sogndal are expected to score 2.58 and Raufoss 1.10, so the total line is 3.68 goals; over 2.5 lands at 71% and BTTS at 62%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Our main pick is sogndal to win at 68%. At 1.39 with 1xBet the market prices it at 72%, against 68% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Sogndal or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 86% chance, priced 1.08.
The draw sits at only 18%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
Form check: Sogndal have won 2 of their last 5 with 10 scored and 9 conceded, Raufoss 0 of 5 scoring 4 and conceding 15.
Sogndal vs Raufoss over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
On the goal lines Sogndal vs Raufoss reads 88% for over 1.5, 71% for over 2.5 and 50% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 30%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 71%; 1xBet pay 1.33.
Both teams to score is 62%: Sogndal find the net in 92% of simulated matches and Raufoss in 67%. Sogndal keep a clean sheet 33% of the time and Raufoss 8%.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 62%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Sogndal vs Raufoss: 2-1 (9.2%), 2-0 (8.4%) and 3-1 (7.9%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Sogndal, full-time Sogndal is the top combination at 47%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 81%.
Every market rated for Sogndal vs Raufoss
The grid built from 2.58 and 1.10 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Sogndal to win68%1.39
Draw18%4.80
Raufoss to win14%6.57
Sogndal, draw no bet84%fair 1.20
Raufoss, draw no bet17%fair 6.06
Double chance
Sogndal or draw86%1.08
Raufoss or draw32%2.77
Sogndal or Raufoss (no draw)82%1.15
Goals
Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals88%fair 1.13
Over 2.5 goals71%1.33
Over 3.5 goals50%fair 2.00
Over 4.5 goals31%fair 3.24
Under 1.5 goals12%fair 8.47
Under 2.5 goals30%2.83
Under 3.5 goals50%fair 2.00
BTTS
Both teams to score62%1.52
Not both teams to score38%2.37
Halves
First-half goal81%fair 1.24
Over 1.5 first-half goals49%fair 2.03
Second-half goal87%fair 1.15
Team goals
Sogndal to score92%fair 1.08
Raufoss to score67%fair 1.50
Sogndal clean sheet33%fair 3.00
Raufoss clean sheet8%fair 13.16
Sogndal to win to nil31%fair 3.27
Raufoss to win to nil7%fair 14.29
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
2-19.2%
2-08.4%
3-17.9%
3-07.2%
1-17.2%
1-06.5%
Half-time / full-time
Sogndal / Sogndal47.2%
Draw / Sogndal18%
Draw / Draw8.6%
Raufoss / Raufoss7.8%
Draw / Raufoss5%
Questions about Sogndal vs Raufoss
Who is favourite in Sogndal vs Raufoss?
The model gives Sogndal the best chance at 68%, with the draw at 18%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What scoreline is most likely in Sogndal vs Raufoss?
2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.2%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 71%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Sogndal vs Raufoss?
The BTTS yes line is rated 62%. Sogndal find the net in 92% of simulated matches and Raufoss in 67%.
When is Sogndal vs Raufoss and where is the result shown?
Sogndal vs Raufoss starts at 17:00 UTC on Wednesday, 21 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.