Norway 1. Division
SogndalHomeDWWLL
3:1Half-time 1:1
KongsvingerAwayWLWLL201961
Sogndal winDrawKongsvinger win
SogndalHomeDWWLLKongsvingerAwayWLWLL- Kick-off Sun 25 Oct
- Expected goals
- 4.45 1.64 : 2.81
- Favourite
- 61% Kongsvinger
- Over 2.5 goals
- 81% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 76% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Sogndal vs Kongsvinger odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 4.51 | 4.70 | 1.55 | 1.16 | 4.10 | 1.26 | 3.48 | Bet |
 22Bet | 4.00 | 5.00 | 1.62 | - | - | 1.25 | 3.74 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 4.00 | 4.80 | 1.59 | 1.19 | 4.20 | 1.24 | 3.50 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 4.00 | 5.00 | 1.62 | 1.16 | 4.15 | 1.25 | 3.74 | Bet |
 Melbet | 4.00 | 5.00 | 1.62 | 1.19 | 4.33 | 1.25 | 3.74 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Kongsvinger to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Sogndal price at 4.51, 22Bet lead the draw at 5.00 and 22Bet have Kongsvinger longest at 1.62.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 96.1%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.19 (Melbet) and under 2.5 4.33 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.26 (1xBet) and no 3.74 (22Bet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
61%
Our prediction
Kongsvinger to win
Double chanceSogndal or Kongsvinger (no draw)
82% chance1.15
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
81% chance1.19
BTTSBoth teams to score
76% chance1.26
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
94% chance1.07fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-2
8% chance13.16fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Kongsvinger, full-time Kongsvinger
42% chance2.39fair
Sogndal vs Kongsvinger prediction
Sogndal vs Kongsvinger prediction, who wins and at what price
Sogndal vs Kongsvinger prediction for the Norway 1. Division on Sunday, 25 October 2026: the model makes Kongsvinger the clear favourite at 61%, with the draw at 19% and Sogndal at 20%.
Expected goals are 1.64 for Sogndal and 2.81 for Kongsvinger, a total of 4.45, which puts over 2.5 goals at 81% and both teams to score at 76%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Kongsvinger to win is the main selection, rated 61%. At 1.62 with 22Bet the market prices it at 62%, against 61% from the model.
Sogndal or Kongsvinger (no draw) is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 82% chance, priced 1.15.
With the draw down at 19%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.
Form check: Sogndal have won 2 of their last 5 with 10 scored and 9 conceded, Kongsvinger 2 of 5 scoring 13 and conceding 13.
Sogndal vs Kongsvinger over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 94%, over 2.5 at 81%, over 3.5 at 65%; under 2.5 is 19% and under 3.5 is 35%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 81%, best priced 1.19 at Melbet.
BTTS yes stands at 76%. Sogndal score in 81% of simulations against a 19% clean sheet for Kongsvinger; Kongsvinger score in 94% while Sogndal shut them out 6% of the time.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 76%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Sogndal vs Kongsvinger: 1-2 (7.6%), 1-3 (7.1%) and 2-2 (6.2%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 7.6% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Kongsvinger, full-time Kongsvinger is the top combination at 42%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 87%.
All markets, Sogndal vs Kongsvinger
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Sogndal vs Kongsvinger, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Sogndal to win20%4.51
Draw19%5.00
Kongsvinger to win61%1.62
Sogndal, draw no bet25%fair 4.00
Kongsvinger, draw no bet75%fair 1.33
Double chance
Sogndal or draw39%2.30
Kongsvinger or draw80%1.22
Sogndal or Kongsvinger (no draw)82%1.15
Goals
Over 0.5 goals99%fair 1.01
Over 1.5 goals94%fair 1.07
Over 2.5 goals81%1.19
Over 3.5 goals65%fair 1.54
Over 4.5 goals46%fair 2.18
Under 1.5 goals6%fair 15.63
Under 2.5 goals19%4.33
Under 3.5 goals35%fair 2.85
BTTS
Both teams to score76%1.26
Not both teams to score24%3.74
Halves
First-half goal87%fair 1.16
Over 1.5 first-half goals60%fair 1.68
Second-half goal91%fair 1.10
Team goals
Sogndal to score81%fair 1.24
Kongsvinger to score94%fair 1.06
Sogndal clean sheet6%fair 16.67
Kongsvinger clean sheet19%fair 5.15
Sogndal to win to nil6%fair 18.18
Kongsvinger to win to nil18%fair 5.62
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-27.6%
1-37.1%
2-26.2%
2-35.8%
1-15.4%
1-45%
Half-time / full-time
Kongsvinger / Kongsvinger41.8%
Draw / Kongsvinger15.3%
Sogndal / Sogndal12.2%
Draw / Draw7.5%
Draw / Sogndal6.5%
Questions about Sogndal vs Kongsvinger
Who will win Sogndal vs Kongsvinger?
The model gives Kongsvinger the best chance at 61%, with the draw at 19%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What is the correct score prediction for Sogndal vs Kongsvinger?
1-2 is the most likely scoreline at 7.6%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 81% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Sogndal vs Kongsvinger?
The BTTS yes line is rated 76%. Sogndal find the net in 81% of simulated matches and Kongsvinger in 94%.
What time does Sogndal vs Kongsvinger kick off?
Sogndal vs Kongsvinger starts at 16:00 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.