Molde vs Stromsgodset prediction

Molde vs Stromsgodset prediction, who wins and at what price

The Molde vs Stromsgodset prediction leans to Molde: 81% against 9% for Stromsgodset, with 11% left for the draw, in the NM Cupen on Wednesday, 28 October 2026.

The goal expectancy is 4.45 in total, split 3.43 to Molde and 1.02 to Stromsgodset. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 80% and both teams to score 61%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

The pick for Molde vs Stromsgodset is molde to win, a 81% chance. Melbet offer the top price at 1.28. That price implies 78%, 2 points under the model figure.

That gap is worth 3% on a flat stake, which makes the pick a value bet as well as a probable outcome.

Molde or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 91% chance, priced 1.04.

The draw sits at only 11%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Molde average 3.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded across their last 5, Stromsgodset 2.8 and 1.2 across 5.

Molde vs Stromsgodset over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

Under 2.5 goals is rated 20% and under 3.5 35%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 93% and over 2.5 at 80%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 80%; BC.Game pay 1.25.

BTTS yes stands at 61%. Molde score in 97% of simulations against a 3% clean sheet for Stromsgodset; Stromsgodset score in 64% while Molde shut them out 36% of the time.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 61%.

Correct score: 3-1 leads at 8%, then 3-0 at 7.9% and 2-1 at 7%.

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Molde, full-time Molde is the top combination at 61%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 87%.