NM Cupen
RanheimHomeDWWLW
2:5Half-time 1:2
FredrikstadAwayDLLWL232255
Ranheim winDrawFredrikstad win
RanheimHomeDWWLWFredrikstadAwayDLLWL- Kick-off Wed 28 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.55 1.37 : 2.18
- Favourite
- 55% Fredrikstad
- Over 2.5 goals
- 68% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 68% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Best odds for Ranheim vs Fredrikstad
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 3.78 | 4.00 | 1.77 | 1.38 | 2.62 | 1.41 | 2.69 | Bet |
 22Bet | 3.83 | 4.15 | 1.76 | 1.31 | 3.25 | 1.36 | 2.99 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 3.70 | 4.10 | 1.71 | 1.35 | 3.00 | 1.34 | 2.84 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 3.83 | 4.15 | 1.76 | 1.31 | 3.25 | 1.36 | 2.99 | Bet |
 Melbet | 3.83 | 4.15 | 1.76 | 1.31 | 3.25 | 1.36 | 2.99 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Fredrikstad to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Ranheim vs Fredrikstad are 3.83 for Ranheim at Betwinner, 4.15 for the draw at Betwinner and 1.77 for Fredrikstad at 1xBet.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 93.7%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.38 (1xBet) and under 2.5 3.25 (Betwinner); both teams to score yes pays 1.41 (1xBet) and no 2.99 (Betwinner).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
55%
Our prediction
Fredrikstad to win
Double chanceRanheim or Fredrikstad (no draw)
78% chance1.21
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
68% chance1.38
BTTSBoth teams to score
68% chance1.41
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
87% chance1.15fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-2
9% chance10.64fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Fredrikstad, full-time Fredrikstad
36% chance2.77fair
Ranheim vs Fredrikstad prediction
Ranheim vs Fredrikstad prediction, who wins and at what price
The Ranheim vs Fredrikstad prediction leans to Fredrikstad: 55% against 23% for Ranheim, with 22% left for the draw, in the NM Cupen on Wednesday, 28 October 2026.
Expected goals are 1.37 for Ranheim and 2.18 for Fredrikstad, a total of 3.55, which puts over 2.5 goals at 68% and both teams to score at 68%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is fredrikstad to win at 55%. At 1.77 with 1xBet the market prices it at 56%, against 55% from the model.
For a safer line, ranheim or Fredrikstad (no draw) covers 78% of outcomes at 1.21.
The draw sits at only 22%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
Over the last 5 matches Ranheim stand at 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Fredrikstad show 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats in 5.
Ranheim vs Fredrikstad over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
Under 2.5 goals is rated 32% and under 3.5 53%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 87% and over 2.5 at 68%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 68%; 1xBet pay 1.38.
Both teams to score is 68%: Ranheim find the net in 75% of simulated matches and Fredrikstad in 89%. Ranheim keep a clean sheet 11% of the time and Fredrikstad 25%.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 68%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-2 at 9.4%, followed by 1-1 (8.6%) and 0-2 (6.8%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Fredrikstad, full-time Fredrikstad leads at 36%. A goal before the break is rated 80%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Ranheim vs Fredrikstad
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Ranheim vs Fredrikstad, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Ranheim to win23%3.83
Draw22%4.15
Fredrikstad to win55%1.77
Ranheim, draw no bet29%fair 3.42
Fredrikstad, draw no bet71%fair 1.41
Double chance
Ranheim or draw45%1.99
Fredrikstad or draw77%1.24
Ranheim or Fredrikstad (no draw)78%1.21
Goals
Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals87%fair 1.15
Over 2.5 goals68%1.38
Over 3.5 goals47%fair 2.11
Over 4.5 goals28%fair 3.52
Under 1.5 goals13%fair 7.63
Under 2.5 goals32%3.25
Under 3.5 goals53%fair 1.90
BTTS
Both teams to score68%1.41
Not both teams to score32%2.99
Halves
First-half goal80%fair 1.25
Over 1.5 first-half goals47%fair 2.11
Second-half goal86%fair 1.17
Team goals
Ranheim to score75%fair 1.34
Fredrikstad to score89%fair 1.13
Ranheim clean sheet11%fair 8.85
Fredrikstad clean sheet25%fair 3.94
Ranheim to win to nil10%fair 9.62
Fredrikstad to win to nil23%fair 4.27
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-29.4%
1-18.6%
0-26.8%
1-36.8%
2-26.4%
0-16.3%
Half-time / full-time
Fredrikstad / Fredrikstad36.1%
Draw / Fredrikstad16%
Ranheim / Ranheim13.6%
Draw / Draw10.4%
Draw / Ranheim8%
Questions about Ranheim vs Fredrikstad
Ranheim or Fredrikstad: which side does the model back?
The model gives Fredrikstad the best chance at 55%, with the draw at 22%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What is the correct score prediction for Ranheim vs Fredrikstad?
1-2 is the most likely scoreline at 9.4%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 68% backs the same picture with less variance.
Ranheim vs Fredrikstad both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 68%. Ranheim find the net in 75% of simulated matches and Fredrikstad in 89%.
When do Ranheim play Fredrikstad?
Ranheim vs Fredrikstad starts at 17:00 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.