Eerste Divisie
Jong AZHomeWLDWL
Fri 6 Nov
Almere City FCAwayWLLWW342244
Jong AZ winDrawAlmere City FC win
Jong AZHomeWLDWLAlmere City FCAwayWLLWW- Kick-off Fri 6 Nov
- Expected goals
- 3.89 1.82 : 2.07
- Favourite
- 44% Almere City FC
- Over 2.5 goals
- 74% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 75% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Jong AZ vs Almere City FC odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.78 | 4.00 | 2.13 | 1.26 | 3.20 | 1.28 | 3.34 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.78 | 4.00 | 2.13 | 1.26 | 3.20 | 1.28 | 3.34 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.78 | 3.90 | 2.06 | 1.28 | 3.40 | 1.28 | 3.20 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.78 | 4.00 | 2.13 | 1.26 | 3.20 | 1.28 | 3.34 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.78 | 4.00 | 2.13 | 1.26 | 3.20 | 1.28 | 3.34 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Almere City FC to win partner prices
BC.Game pay the best Jong AZ price at 2.78, 22Bet lead the draw at 4.00 and 22Bet have Almere City FC longest at 2.13.
The best-price payout across the three results is 92.7%, several points better than any single book offers here.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.28 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 3.40 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 1.28 (BC.Game) and no 3.34 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
78%
Our prediction
Jong AZ or Almere City FC (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
74% chance1.28
BTTSBoth teams to score
75% chance1.28
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
90% chance1.11fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-2
8% chance12.50fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Almere City FC, full-time Almere City FC
28% chance3.60fair
First halfFirst-half goal
83% chance1.21fair
Jong AZ vs Almere City FC prediction
Our Jong AZ vs Almere City FC prediction and pick
Jong AZ host Almere City FC on Friday, 6 November 2026 in the Eerste Divisie, and the model has Almere City FC at 44%, the draw at 22% and Jong AZ at 34%: that is the Jong AZ vs Almere City FC prediction in one line.
Expected goals are 1.82 for Jong AZ and 2.07 for Almere City FC, a total of 3.89, which puts over 2.5 goals at 74% and both teams to score at 75%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for Jong AZ vs Almere City FC is jong AZ or Almere City FC (no draw), a 78% chance. At 1.21 with 22Bet the market prices it at 83%, against 78% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
With the draw down at 22%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.
Over the last 5 matches Jong AZ stand at 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Almere City FC show 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in 5.
Goals forecast for Jong AZ vs Almere City FC with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Under 2.5 goals is rated 26% and under 3.5 46%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 90% and over 2.5 at 74%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 74%, best priced 1.28 at BC.Game.
BTTS yes stands at 75%. Jong AZ score in 84% of simulations against a 16% clean sheet for Almere City FC; Almere City FC score in 87% while Jong AZ shut them out 13% of the time.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 75%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Jong AZ vs Almere City FC: 1-2 (8%), 1-1 (7.7%) and 2-2 (7.3%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 8% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Almere City FC, full-time Almere City FC leads at 28%. A goal before the break is rated 83%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Jong AZ vs Almere City FC
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Jong AZ vs Almere City FC, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Jong AZ to win34%2.78
Draw22%4.00
Almere City FC to win44%2.13
Jong AZ, draw no bet44%fair 2.28
Almere City FC, draw no bet56%fair 1.78
Double chance
Jong AZ or draw56%1.64
Almere City FC or draw66%1.39
Jong AZ or Almere City FC (no draw)78%1.21
Goals
Over 0.5 goals98%fair 1.02
Over 1.5 goals90%fair 1.11
Over 2.5 goals74%1.28
Over 3.5 goals55%fair 1.83
Over 4.5 goals35%fair 2.86
Under 1.5 goals10%fair 10.00
Under 2.5 goals26%3.40
Under 3.5 goals46%fair 2.20
BTTS
Both teams to score75%1.28
Not both teams to score26%3.34
Halves
First-half goal83%fair 1.21
Over 1.5 first-half goals52%fair 1.92
Second-half goal88%fair 1.13
Team goals
Jong AZ to score84%fair 1.19
Almere City FC to score87%fair 1.14
Jong AZ clean sheet13%fair 7.94
Almere City FC clean sheet16%fair 6.17
Jong AZ to win to nil12%fair 8.62
Almere City FC to win to nil15%fair 6.71
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-28%
1-17.7%
2-27.3%
2-17%
1-35.5%
2-35%
Half-time / full-time
Almere City FC / Almere City FC27.8%
Jong AZ / Jong AZ21%
Draw / Almere City FC12.9%
Draw / Jong AZ10.6%
Draw / Draw9.9%
Questions about Jong AZ vs Almere City FC
Who is favourite in Jong AZ vs Almere City FC?
The model gives Almere City FC the best chance at 44%, with the draw at 22%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
Jong AZ vs Almere City FC correct score: what does the model say?
1-2 is the most likely scoreline at 8%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 74%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Jong AZ vs Almere City FC?
The BTTS yes line is rated 75%. Jong AZ find the net in 84% of simulated matches and Almere City FC in 87%.
What time does Jong AZ vs Almere City FC kick off?
Kick-off is 19:00 UTC on Friday, 6 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.