Waalwijk vs Almere City FC prediction

Waalwijk vs Almere City FC prediction, who wins and at what price

Waalwijk vs Almere City FC prediction for the Eerste Divisie on Friday, 30 October 2026: the model makes Waalwijk marginally ahead at 43%, with the draw at 24% and Almere City FC at 33%.

The goal expectancy is 3.37 in total, split 1.80 to Waalwijk and 1.57 to Almere City FC. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 64% and both teams to score 69%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Our main pick is waalwijk or Almere City FC (no draw) at 76%. The best price in our comparison is 1.23 at 1xBet, which implies 81%, so the model sits 6 points below the market.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Waalwijk vs Almere City FC.

Form check: Waalwijk have won 0 of their last 5 with 5 scored and 9 conceded, Almere City FC 3 of 5 scoring 10 and conceding 6.

Goals forecast for Waalwijk vs Almere City FC with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 85%, over 2.5 at 64%, over 3.5 at 44%; under 2.5 is 36% and under 3.5 is 57%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 64%; Melbet pay 1.42.

BTTS yes stands at 69%. Waalwijk score in 84% of simulations against a 17% clean sheet for Almere City FC; Almere City FC score in 79% while Waalwijk shut them out 21% of the time.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 69%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 9.7%, followed by 2-1 (8.7%) and 1-2 (7.6%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 9.7% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Waalwijk, full-time Waalwijk leads at 27%. A goal before the break is rated 78%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.