Dordrecht vs NAC Breda prediction

Our Dordrecht vs NAC Breda prediction and pick

Dordrecht vs NAC Breda prediction for the Eerste Divisie on Friday, 6 November 2026: the model makes NAC Breda a narrow favourite at 56%, with the draw at 21% and Dordrecht at 23%.

Expected goals are 1.47 for Dordrecht and 2.30 for NAC Breda, a total of 3.77, which puts over 2.5 goals at 72% and both teams to score at 70%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

NAC Breda to win is the main selection, rated 56%. 22Bet offer the top price at 1.70. That price implies 59%, 3 points over the model figure.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Dordrecht vs NAC Breda.

Dordrecht or NAC Breda (no draw) is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 79% chance, priced 1.19.

With the draw down at 21%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Over the last 5 matches Dordrecht stand at 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; NAC Breda show 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in 5.

Goals forecast for Dordrecht vs NAC Breda with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 89%, over 2.5 at 72%, over 3.5 at 52%; under 2.5 is 28% and under 3.5 is 48%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 72%, best priced 1.37 at BC.Game.

The chance of both teams scoring is 70%, built from Dordrecht scoring in 77% of runs and NAC Breda in 90%; clean sheets come at 10% for Dordrecht and 23% for NAC Breda.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 70%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Dordrecht vs NAC Breda: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (7.8%) and 1-3 (6.9%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time NAC Breda, full-time NAC Breda is the top combination at 37%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 82%.