Eerste Divisie
HeraclesHomeDWWDL
Fri 6 Nov
RodaAwayDWWWW642016
Heracles winDrawRoda win
HeraclesHomeDWWDLRodaAwayDWWWW- Kick-off Fri 6 Nov
- Expected goals
- 3.37 2.29 : 1.08
- Favourite
- 64% Heracles
- Over 2.5 goals
- 65% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 60% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Best odds for Heracles vs Roda
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.47 | 4.50 | 5.49 | - | - | - | - | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.47 | 4.55 | 5.56 | 1.41 | 2.52 | 1.55 | 2.30 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.47 | 4.30 | 5.20 | 1.45 | 2.60 | 1.55 | 2.20 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.46 | 4.50 | 5.42 | 1.48 | 2.50 | 1.57 | 2.28 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.47 | 4.55 | 5.56 | 1.41 | 2.52 | 1.55 | 2.30 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Heracles to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Heracles vs Roda prediction: Heracles 1.47 (22Bet), draw 4.55 (22Bet), Roda 5.56 (22Bet).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 92.6%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.48 (Betwinner) and under 2.5 2.60 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 1.57 (Betwinner) and no 2.30 (Melbet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
64%
Our prediction
Heracles to win
Double chanceHeracles or draw
84% chance1.11
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
65% chance1.48
BTTSBoth teams to score
60% chance1.57
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
85% chance1.18fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-1
10% chance10.31fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Heracles, full-time Heracles
43% chance2.34fair
Heracles vs Roda prediction
Heracles vs Roda prediction and best bet
Heracles are the clear favourite in the Heracles vs Roda prediction, rated 64% to win this Eerste Divisie match on Friday, 6 November 2026. Roda sit at 16% and the draw at 20%.
The goal expectancy is 3.37 in total, split 2.29 to Heracles and 1.08 to Roda. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 65% and both teams to score 60%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Heracles to win is the main selection, rated 64%. The best price in our comparison is 1.47 at 22Bet, which implies 68%, so the model sits 4 points below the market.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
For a safer line, heracles or draw covers 84% of outcomes at 1.11.
The draw sits at only 20%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
Over the last 5 matches Heracles stand at 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Roda show 4 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats in 5.
Goals forecast for Heracles vs Roda with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
On the goal lines Heracles vs Roda reads 85% for over 1.5, 65% for over 2.5 and 44% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 35%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 65%; Betwinner pay 1.48.
BTTS yes stands at 60%. Heracles score in 90% of simulations against a 10% clean sheet for Roda; Roda score in 66% while Heracles shut them out 34% of the time.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 60%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Heracles vs Roda: 2-1 (9.7%), 2-0 (9%) and 1-1 (8.5%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Heracles, full-time Heracles is the top combination at 43%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 78%.
Every market for Heracles vs Roda
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 64% / 20% / 16% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Heracles to win64%1.47
Draw20%4.55
Roda to win16%5.56
Heracles, draw no bet80%fair 1.25
Roda, draw no bet20%fair 4.95
Double chance
Heracles or draw84%1.11
Roda or draw36%2.50
Heracles or Roda (no draw)81%1.16
Goals
Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals85%fair 1.18
Over 2.5 goals65%1.48
Over 3.5 goals44%fair 2.30
Over 4.5 goals25%fair 4.00
Under 1.5 goals15%fair 6.67
Under 2.5 goals35%2.60
Under 3.5 goals57%fair 1.77
BTTS
Both teams to score60%1.57
Not both teams to score40%2.30
Halves
First-half goal78%fair 1.28
Over 1.5 first-half goals45%fair 2.23
Second-half goal84%fair 1.19
Team goals
Heracles to score90%fair 1.11
Roda to score66%fair 1.52
Heracles clean sheet34%fair 2.94
Roda clean sheet10%fair 9.90
Heracles to win to nil31%fair 3.21
Roda to win to nil9%fair 10.75
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
2-19.7%
2-09%
1-18.5%
1-07.9%
3-17.4%
3-06.9%
Half-time / full-time
Heracles / Heracles42.7%
Draw / Heracles18.1%
Draw / Draw10.2%
Roda / Roda9.2%
Draw / Roda6%
Questions about Heracles vs Roda
Heracles or Roda: which side does the model back?
The model gives Heracles the best chance at 64%, with the draw at 20%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What is the correct score prediction for Heracles vs Roda?
2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.7%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 65%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Heracles vs Roda?
The BTTS yes line is rated 60%. Heracles find the net in 90% of simulated matches and Roda in 66%.
What time does Heracles vs Roda kick off?
Kick-off is 19:00 UTC on Friday, 6 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.