Eerste Divisie
FC OSSHomeWWLDW
3:3Half-time 0:2
Jong AjaxAwayDLWD482428
FC OSS winDrawJong Ajax win
FC OSSHomeWWLDWJong AjaxAwayDLWD- Kick-off Fri 23 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.49 1.98 : 1.51
- Favourite
- 48% FC OSS
- Over 2.5 goals
- 68% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 68% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Best odds for FC OSS vs Jong Ajax
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.03 | 3.72 | 3.14 | 1.39 | 2.59 | 1.39 | 2.77 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
FC OSS to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for FC OSS vs Jong Ajax are 2.03 for FC OSS at 1xBet, 3.72 for the draw at 1xBet and 3.14 for Jong Ajax at 1xBet.
The best-price payout across the three results is 92.6%, several points better than any single book offers here.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.39 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.59 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.39 (1xBet) and no 2.77 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
76%
Our prediction
FC OSS or Jong Ajax (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
68% chance1.39
BTTSBoth teams to score
68% chance1.39
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
86% chance1.16fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
9% chance10.99fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time FC OSS, full-time FC OSS
31% chance3.27fair
First halfFirst-half goal
79% chance1.26fair
FC OSS vs Jong Ajax prediction
FC OSS vs Jong Ajax prediction and best bet
The FC OSS vs Jong Ajax prediction leans to FC OSS: 48% against 28% for Jong Ajax, with 24% left for the draw, in the Eerste Divisie on Friday, 23 October 2026.
FC OSS are expected to score 1.98 and Jong Ajax 1.51, so the total line is 3.49 goals; over 2.5 lands at 68% and BTTS at 68%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
FC OSS or Jong Ajax (no draw) is the main selection, rated 76%. The best price in our comparison is 1.23 at 1xBet, which implies 81%, so the model sits 5 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on FC OSS vs Jong Ajax.
Over the last 5 matches FC OSS stand at 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Jong Ajax show 1 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats in 4.
Goals forecast for FC OSS vs Jong Ajax with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
On the goal lines FC OSS vs Jong Ajax reads 86% for over 1.5, 68% for over 2.5 and 46% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 33%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 68%, best priced 1.39 at 1xBet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 68%, built from FC OSS scoring in 86% of runs and Jong Ajax in 78%; clean sheets come at 22% for FC OSS and 14% for Jong Ajax.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 68%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 9.1%, followed by 2-1 (9%) and 1-2 (6.9%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 9.1% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time FC OSS, full-time FC OSS leads at 31%. A goal before the break is rated 79%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, FC OSS vs Jong Ajax
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for FC OSS vs Jong Ajax, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
FC OSS to win48%2.03
Draw24%3.72
Jong Ajax to win28%3.14
FC OSS, draw no bet63%fair 1.59
Jong Ajax, draw no bet37%fair 2.70
Double chance
FC OSS or draw72%1.31
Jong Ajax or draw52%1.70
FC OSS or Jong Ajax (no draw)76%1.23
Goals
Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals86%fair 1.16
Over 2.5 goals68%1.39
Over 3.5 goals46%fair 2.17
Over 4.5 goals27%fair 3.66
Under 1.5 goals14%fair 7.30
Under 2.5 goals33%2.59
Under 3.5 goals54%fair 1.86
BTTS
Both teams to score68%1.39
Not both teams to score32%2.77
Halves
First-half goal79%fair 1.26
Over 1.5 first-half goals47%fair 2.15
Second-half goal85%fair 1.17
Team goals
FC OSS to score86%fair 1.16
Jong Ajax to score78%fair 1.28
FC OSS clean sheet22%fair 4.52
Jong Ajax clean sheet14%fair 7.25
FC OSS to win to nil20%fair 4.93
Jong Ajax to win to nil13%fair 7.87
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-19.1%
2-19%
1-26.9%
2-26.8%
1-06%
2-06%
Half-time / full-time
FC OSS / FC OSS30.6%
Jong Ajax / Jong Ajax17.4%
Draw / FC OSS14.6%
Draw / Draw11.1%
Draw / Jong Ajax9.7%
Questions about FC OSS vs Jong Ajax
Who is favourite in FC OSS vs Jong Ajax?
The model gives FC OSS the best chance at 48%, with the draw at 24%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
FC OSS vs Jong Ajax correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.1%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 68% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in FC OSS vs Jong Ajax?
The BTTS yes line is rated 68%. FC OSS find the net in 86% of simulated matches and Jong Ajax in 78%.
When do FC OSS play Jong Ajax?
Kick-off is 18:00 UTC on Friday, 23 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.