Fiorentina vs Como prediction

Fiorentina vs Como prediction, who wins and at what price

Fiorentina vs Como prediction for the Serie A on Sunday, 18 October 2026: the model makes Como marginally ahead at 43%, with the draw at 28% and Fiorentina at 30%.

Expected goals are 1.39 for Fiorentina and 1.69 for Como, a total of 3.08, which puts over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 63%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Our main pick is fiorentina or Como (no draw) at 72%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.32. That price implies 76%, 4 points over the model figure.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Fiorentina vs Como.

Over the last 5 matches Fiorentina stand at 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Como show 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in 5.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Fiorentina vs Como

On the goal lines Fiorentina vs Como reads 81% for over 1.5, 59% for over 2.5 and 37% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 41%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 59%, best priced 1.62 at 1xBet.

Both teams to score is 63%: Fiorentina find the net in 75% of simulated matches and Como in 82%. Fiorentina keep a clean sheet 19% of the time and Como 25%.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 63%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 10.8%, followed by 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-1 (7.8%).

With the top scoreline at 10.8%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Fiorentina vs Como; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Como, full-time Como leads at 27%. A goal before the break is rated 75%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.