Iraqi League
Al KarkhHomeLDDL
1:1Half-time 1:1
MosulAwayLLWDL522424
Al Karkh winDrawMosul win
Al KarkhHomeLDDLMosulAwayLLWDL- Kick-off Fri 23 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.82 1.72 : 1.10
- Favourite
- 52% Al Karkh
- Over 2.5 goals
- 53% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 55% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Al Karkh vs Mosul betting odds by bookmaker
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.
52%
Our prediction
Al Karkh to win
1.93fair
Double chanceAl Karkh or Mosul (no draw)
76% chance1.31fair
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
53% chance1.87fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
55% chance1.83fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
77% chance1.30fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance8.85fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Al Karkh, full-time Al Karkh
32% chance3.11fair
Al Karkh vs Mosul prediction
Our Al Karkh vs Mosul prediction and pick
Al Karkh host Mosul on Friday, 23 October 2026 in the Iraqi League, and the model has Al Karkh at 52%, the draw at 24% and Mosul at 24%: that is the Al Karkh vs Mosul prediction in one line.
The goal expectancy is 2.82 in total, split 1.72 to Al Karkh and 1.10 to Mosul. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 53% and both teams to score 55%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Al Karkh to win is the main selection, rated 52%. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.
Al Karkh or Mosul (no draw) is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 76% chance.
Form check: Al Karkh have won 0 of their last 4 with 5 scored and 7 conceded, Mosul 1 of 5 scoring 4 and conceding 9.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Al Karkh vs Mosul
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 77%, over 2.5 at 53%, over 3.5 at 31%; under 2.5 is 47% and under 3.5 is 69%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 53%.
Both teams to score is 55%: Al Karkh find the net in 82% of simulated matches and Mosul in 67%. Al Karkh keep a clean sheet 33% of the time and Mosul 18%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Al Karkh vs Mosul: 1-1 (11.3%), 1-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.7%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.3% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Al Karkh, full-time Al Karkh leads at 32%. A goal before the break is rated 72%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Al Karkh vs Mosul
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Al Karkh vs Mosul, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Al Karkh to win52%fair 1.93
Draw24%fair 4.18
Mosul to win24%fair 4.12
Al Karkh, draw no bet68%fair 1.47
Mosul, draw no bet32%fair 3.13
Double chance
Al Karkh or draw76%fair 1.32
Mosul or draw48%fair 2.07
Al Karkh or Mosul (no draw)76%fair 1.31
Goals
Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals77%fair 1.30
Over 2.5 goals53%fair 1.87
Over 3.5 goals31%fair 3.19
Over 4.5 goals16%fair 6.45
Under 1.5 goals23%fair 4.39
Under 2.5 goals47%fair 2.15
Under 3.5 goals69%fair 1.46
BTTS
Both teams to score55%fair 1.83
Not both teams to score45%fair 2.21
Halves
First-half goal72%fair 1.39
Over 1.5 first-half goals36%fair 2.76
Second-half goal79%fair 1.27
Team goals
Al Karkh to score82%fair 1.22
Mosul to score67%fair 1.50
Al Karkh clean sheet33%fair 3.00
Mosul clean sheet18%fair 5.59
Al Karkh to win to nil31%fair 3.27
Mosul to win to nil17%fair 6.06
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-111.3%
1-010.3%
2-19.7%
2-08.8%
0-16.6%
1-26.2%
Half-time / full-time
Al Karkh / Al Karkh32.2%
Draw / Al Karkh16.9%
Draw / Draw14.1%
Mosul / Mosul13.6%
Draw / Mosul9%
Questions about Al Karkh vs Mosul
Who will win Al Karkh vs Mosul?
The model gives Al Karkh the best chance at 52%, with the draw at 24%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
Al Karkh vs Mosul correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.3%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 53%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Al Karkh vs Mosul?
The BTTS yes line is rated 55%. Al Karkh find the net in 82% of simulated matches and Mosul in 67%.
What time does Al Karkh vs Mosul kick off?
Kick-off is 15:00 UTC on Friday, 23 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.