Liga Nacional
CD MotaguaHomeWDWLW
2:0Half-time 2:0
CD MarathonAwayWWDDL452926
CD Motagua winDrawCD Marathon win
CD MotaguaHomeWDWLWCD MarathonAwayWWDDL- Kick-off Sun 1 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.49 1.45 : 1.04
- Favourite
- 45% CD Motagua
- Over 2.5 goals
- 45% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 51% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
CD Motagua vs CD Marathon odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.03 | 3.20 | 3.28 | 1.89 | 1.78 | 1.72 | 1.96 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.15 | 3.26 | 3.36 | 2.22 | 1.62 | 2.02 | 1.74 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.08 | 3.05 | 3.45 | 2.04 | 1.71 | 1.79 | 1.85 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.15 | 3.26 | 3.36 | 2.22 | 1.62 | 2.02 | 1.74 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.09 | 3.44 | 3.34 | 2.22 | 1.62 | 2.02 | 1.74 | Bet |
 Stake | 2.14 | 3.05 | 3.40 | 2.02 | 1.65 | 1.79 | 1.85 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
CD Motagua to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the CD Motagua vs CD Marathon prediction: CD Motagua 2.15 (22Bet), draw 3.44 (Melbet), CD Marathon 3.45 (BC.Game).
The best-price payout across the three results is 95.6%, several points better than any single book offers here.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.22 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.78 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.02 (22Bet) and no 1.96 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
74%
Our prediction
CD Motagua or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
55% chance1.78
BTTSBoth teams to score
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
71% chance1.41fairWon
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance8.00fairLost
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time CD Motagua, full-time CD Motagua
28% chance3.58fairWon
First halfFirst-half goal
67% chance1.48fairWon
CD Motagua vs CD Marathon odds movement
CD Motagua win2.15unchanged
Draw3.44unchanged
CD Marathon win3.45unchanged
Over 2.5 goals2.22unchanged
Under 2.5 goals1.78-0.17
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 23:57 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
CD Motagua vs CD Marathon prediction
CD Motagua vs CD Marathon prediction and best bet
The CD Motagua vs CD Marathon prediction leans to CD Motagua: 45% against 26% for CD Marathon, with 29% left for the draw, in the Liga Nacional on Sunday, 1 November 2026.
Expected goals are 1.45 for CD Motagua and 1.04 for CD Marathon, a total of 2.49, which puts over 2.5 goals at 45% and both teams to score at 51%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
CD Motagua or draw is the main selection, rated 74%. The best price in our comparison is 1.30 at Melbet, which implies 77%, so the model sits 3 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on CD Motagua vs CD Marathon.
CD Motagua average 1.4 goals scored and 0.4 conceded across their last 5, CD Marathon 1.2 and 1.2 across 5.
CD Motagua vs CD Marathon goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 71%, over 2.5 at 45%, over 3.5 at 24%; under 2.5 is 55% and under 3.5 is 76%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 55%; 1xBet pay 1.78.
BTTS yes stands at 51%. CD Motagua score in 77% of simulations against a 24% clean sheet for CD Marathon; CD Marathon score in 65% while CD Motagua shut them out 35% of the time.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for CD Motagua vs CD Marathon: 1-1 (12.5%), 1-0 (12%) and 2-1 (9.1%).
With the top scoreline at 12.5%, correct score stays a long-odds market for CD Motagua vs CD Marathon; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time CD Motagua, full-time CD Motagua is the top combination at 28%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 67%.
All markets, CD Motagua vs CD Marathon
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for CD Motagua vs CD Marathon, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
CD Motagua to win45%2.15
Draw29%3.44
CD Marathon to win26%3.45
CD Motagua, draw no bet64%fair 1.57
CD Marathon, draw no bet36%fair 2.75
Double chance
CD Motagua or draw74%1.30
CD Marathon or draw55%1.69
CD Motagua or CD Marathon (no draw)71%1.31
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals71%fair 1.41
Over 2.5 goals45%2.22
Over 3.5 goals24%fair 4.17
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 9.35
Under 1.5 goals29%fair 3.46
Under 2.5 goals55%1.78
Under 3.5 goals76%fair 1.32
BTTS
Both teams to score51%2.02
Not both teams to score49%1.96
Halves
First-half goal67%fair 1.48
Over 1.5 first-half goals31%fair 3.25
Second-half goal75%fair 1.34
Team goals
CD Motagua to score77%fair 1.31
CD Marathon to score65%fair 1.55
CD Motagua clean sheet35%fair 2.83
CD Marathon clean sheet24%fair 4.26
CD Motagua to win to nil33%fair 3.08
CD Marathon to win to nil22%fair 4.63
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.5%
1-012%
2-19.1%
2-08.7%
0-18.6%
0-08.3%
Half-time / full-time
CD Motagua / CD Motagua27.9%
Draw / Draw16.7%
Draw / CD Motagua16.3%
CD Marathon / CD Marathon15.2%
Draw / CD Marathon10.4%
Questions about CD Motagua vs CD Marathon
Who is favourite in CD Motagua vs CD Marathon?
The model gives CD Motagua the best chance at 45%, with the draw at 29%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
CD Motagua vs CD Marathon correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.5%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 45% backs the same picture with less variance.
CD Motagua vs CD Marathon both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 51%. CD Motagua find the net in 77% of simulated matches and CD Marathon in 65%.
When is CD Motagua vs CD Marathon and where is the result shown?
CD Motagua vs CD Marathon starts at 23:15 UTC on Sunday, 1 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.