CONCACAF Central American Cup
CD MarathonHomeWWDDL
2:1Half-time 2:1
AlianzaAwayDLWDL432928
CD Marathon winDrawAlianza win
CD MarathonHomeWWDDLAlianzaAwayDLWDL- Kick-off Wed 21 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.63 1.48 : 1.15
- Favourite
- 43% CD Marathon
- Over 2.5 goals
- 49% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 54% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
CD Marathon vs Alianza betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.08 | 3.08 | 3.29 | 1.89 | 1.78 | 1.71 | 1.98 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
CD Marathon to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the CD Marathon vs Alianza prediction: CD Marathon 2.08 (1xBet), draw 3.08 (1xBet), Alianza 3.29 (1xBet).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 90.1%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.89 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.78 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.71 (1xBet) and no 1.98 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
72%
Our prediction
CD Marathon or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
51% chance1.78
BTTSBoth teams to score
54% chance1.71
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
74% chance1.36fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.13fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time CD Marathon, full-time CD Marathon
27% chance3.72fair
First halfFirst-half goal
69% chance1.44fair
CD Marathon v Alianza head to head
0CD Marathon wins
1Draw
0Alianza wins
- 28 Oct 26Alianza0:0CD Marathon
1 meeting since coverage began, 0 goals in total: CD Marathon scored 0, Alianza scored 0.
CD Marathon vs Alianza prediction
CD Marathon vs Alianza prediction, who wins and at what price
CD Marathon vs Alianza prediction for the CONCACAF Central American Cup on Wednesday, 21 October 2026: the model makes CD Marathon marginally ahead at 43%, with the draw at 29% and Alianza at 28%.
Expected goals are 1.48 for CD Marathon and 1.15 for Alianza, a total of 2.63, which puts over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 54%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for CD Marathon vs Alianza is cD Marathon or draw, a 72% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.24 at 1xBet, which implies 81%, so the model sits 8 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on CD Marathon vs Alianza.
Form check: CD Marathon have won 2 of their last 5 with 6 scored and 6 conceded, Alianza 1 of 5 scoring 2 and conceding 3.
CD Marathon vs Alianza goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 74%, over 2.5 at 49%, over 3.5 at 27%; under 2.5 is 51% and under 3.5 is 73%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 51%; 1xBet pay 1.78.
The chance of both teams scoring is 54%, built from CD Marathon scoring in 77% of runs and Alianza in 68%; clean sheets come at 32% for CD Marathon and 23% for Alianza.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for CD Marathon vs Alianza: 1-1 (12.3%), 1-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.1%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.3% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time CD Marathon, full-time CD Marathon is the top combination at 27%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 69%.
Every market rated for CD Marathon vs Alianza
The grid built from 1.48 and 1.15 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
CD Marathon to win43%2.08
Draw29%3.08
Alianza to win28%3.29
CD Marathon, draw no bet61%fair 1.64
Alianza, draw no bet39%fair 2.56
Double chance
CD Marathon or draw72%1.24
Alianza or draw57%1.59
CD Marathon or Alianza (no draw)71%1.27
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals74%fair 1.36
Over 2.5 goals49%1.89
Over 3.5 goals27%fair 3.69
Over 4.5 goals13%fair 7.87
Under 1.5 goals26%fair 3.82
Under 2.5 goals51%1.78
Under 3.5 goals73%fair 1.37
BTTS
Both teams to score54%1.71
Not both teams to score46%1.98
Halves
First-half goal69%fair 1.44
Over 1.5 first-half goals33%fair 3.02
Second-half goal77%fair 1.31
Team goals
CD Marathon to score77%fair 1.30
Alianza to score68%fair 1.46
CD Marathon clean sheet32%fair 3.15
Alianza clean sheet23%fair 4.39
CD Marathon to win to nil29%fair 3.44
Alianza to win to nil21%fair 4.78
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.3%
1-010.7%
2-19.1%
0-18.3%
2-07.9%
0-07.2%
Half-time / full-time
CD Marathon / CD Marathon26.9%
Alianza / Alianza16.7%
Draw / Draw15.7%
Draw / CD Marathon15.5%
Draw / Alianza10.9%
Questions about CD Marathon vs Alianza
Who will win CD Marathon vs Alianza?
The model gives CD Marathon the best chance at 43%, with the draw at 29%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What is the correct score prediction for CD Marathon vs Alianza?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.3%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 49% backs the same picture with less variance.
CD Marathon vs Alianza both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 54%. CD Marathon find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Alianza in 68%.
When is CD Marathon vs Alianza and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 02:00 UTC on Wednesday, 21 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.