CONCACAF Central American Cup
AlianzaHomeDLWDL
0:0Half-time 0:0
CD MarathonAwayWWDDL302743
Alianza winDrawCD Marathon win
AlianzaHomeDLWDLCD MarathonAwayWWDDL- Kick-off Wed 28 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.55 1.15 : 1.40
- Favourite
- 42% CD Marathon
- Over 2.5 goals
- 46% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 53% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Alianza vs CD Marathon betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 3.04 | 3.20 | 2.14 | 1.94 | 1.74 | 1.74 | 1.94 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.71 | 3.41 | 2.46 | 1.97 | 1.83 | 1.67 | 2.13 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.76 | 3.20 | 2.36 | 1.93 | 1.80 | 1.70 | 1.96 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.71 | 3.41 | 2.46 | 1.97 | 1.83 | 1.74 | 2.03 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.71 | 3.41 | 2.46 | 1.97 | 1.83 | 1.67 | 2.13 | Bet |
 Stake | 2.85 | 3.20 | 2.35 | 1.89 | 1.78 | 1.72 | 1.93 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
CD Marathon to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Alianza vs CD Marathon prediction: Alianza 3.04 (1xBet), draw 3.41 (22Bet), CD Marathon 2.46 (22Bet).
The best-price payout across the three results is 97.1%, several points better than any single book offers here.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.97 (Melbet) and under 2.5 1.83 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.74 (1xBet) and no 2.13 (Melbet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
73%
Our prediction
Alianza or CD Marathon (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
54% chance1.83
BTTSBoth teams to score
53% chance1.74
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
72% chance1.38fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.94fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time CD Marathon, full-time CD Marathon
25% chance3.95fair
First halfFirst-half goal
68% chance1.46fair
Alianza v CD Marathon head to head
0Alianza wins
0Draws
1CD Marathon wins
- 21 Oct 26CD Marathon2:1Alianza
1 meeting since coverage began, 3 goals in total: Alianza scored 1, CD Marathon scored 2.
Alianza vs CD Marathon prediction
Alianza vs CD Marathon prediction, who wins and at what price
The Alianza vs CD Marathon prediction leans to CD Marathon: 42% against 30% for Alianza, with 27% left for the draw, in the CONCACAF Central American Cup on Wednesday, 28 October 2026.
Expected goals are 1.15 for Alianza and 1.40 for CD Marathon, a total of 2.55, which puts over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams to score at 53%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Our main pick is alianza or CD Marathon (no draw) at 73%. At 1.29 with Stake the market prices it at 78%, against 73% from the model.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Alianza vs CD Marathon.
Form check: Alianza have won 1 of their last 5 with 2 scored and 3 conceded, CD Marathon 2 of 5 scoring 6 and conceding 6.
How many goals in Alianza vs CD Marathon? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Under 2.5 goals is rated 54% and under 3.5 75%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 72% and over 2.5 at 46%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 54%; Melbet pay 1.83.
Both teams to score is 53%: Alianza find the net in 68% of simulated matches and CD Marathon in 75%. Alianza keep a clean sheet 25% of the time and CD Marathon 32%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.6%, followed by 0-1 (10.9%) and 1-0 (9%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.6% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time CD Marathon, full-time CD Marathon is the top combination at 25%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 68%.
Every market for Alianza vs CD Marathon
The grid built from 1.15 and 1.40 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Alianza to win30%3.04
Draw27%3.41
CD Marathon to win42%2.46
Alianza, draw no bet42%fair 2.39
CD Marathon, draw no bet58%fair 1.72
Double chance
Alianza or draw58%1.56
CD Marathon or draw70%1.43
Alianza or CD Marathon (no draw)73%1.29
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals72%fair 1.38
Over 2.5 goals46%1.97
Over 3.5 goals25%fair 3.95
Over 4.5 goals12%fair 8.62
Under 1.5 goals28%fair 3.61
Under 2.5 goals54%1.83
Under 3.5 goals75%fair 1.34
BTTS
Both teams to score53%1.74
Not both teams to score47%2.13
Halves
First-half goal68%fair 1.46
Over 1.5 first-half goals32%fair 3.14
Second-half goal75%fair 1.33
Team goals
Alianza to score68%fair 1.46
CD Marathon to score75%fair 1.33
Alianza clean sheet25%fair 4.05
CD Marathon clean sheet32%fair 3.15
Alianza to win to nil23%fair 4.41
CD Marathon to win to nil29%fair 3.44
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.6%
0-110.9%
1-09%
1-28.8%
0-07.8%
0-27.7%
Half-time / full-time
CD Marathon / CD Marathon25.3%
Alianza / Alianza17.6%
Draw / Draw16.4%
Draw / CD Marathon15.1%
Draw / Alianza11.5%
Questions about Alianza vs CD Marathon
Alianza or CD Marathon: which side does the model back?
The model gives CD Marathon the best chance at 42%, with the draw at 27%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
Alianza vs CD Marathon correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.6%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 46% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Alianza vs CD Marathon?
The BTTS yes line is rated 53%. Alianza find the net in 68% of simulated matches and CD Marathon in 75%.
When do Alianza play CD Marathon?
Alianza vs CD Marathon starts at 02:00 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.