CONCACAF Central American Cup
LD AlajuelenseHomeWDWWD
2:1Half-time 2:0
CD MotaguaAwayWDWLW522721
LD Alajuelense winDrawCD Motagua win
LD AlajuelenseHomeWDWWDCD MotaguaAwayWDWLW- Kick-off Fri 30 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.50 1.56 : 0.94
- Favourite
- 52% LD Alajuelense
- Over 2.5 goals
- 45% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 50% model chance
- Prices compared
- 2 in the odds table
LD Alajuelense vs CD Motagua betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.78 | 3.36 | 4.00 | 1.98 | 1.71 | 1.83 | 1.84 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.80 | 3.35 | 4.63 | 2.22 | 1.62 | 2.21 | 1.62 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
LD Alajuelense to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for LD Alajuelense vs CD Motagua are 1.80 for LD Alajuelense at 22Bet, 3.36 for the draw at 1xBet and 4.63 for CD Motagua at 22Bet.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 93.5%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.22 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.71 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.21 (22Bet) and no 1.84 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
52%
Our prediction
LD Alajuelense to win
Double chanceLD Alajuelense or draw
78% chance1.17
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
55% chance1.71
BTTSNot both teams to score
50% chance1.84
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
71% chance1.40fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
13% chance7.81fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time LD Alajuelense, full-time LD Alajuelense
32% chance3.15fair
LD Alajuelense v CD Motagua head to head
0LD Alajuelense wins
1Draw
0CD Motagua wins
- 23 Oct 26CD Motagua0:0LD Alajuelense
1 meeting since coverage began, 0 goals in total: LD Alajuelense scored 0, CD Motagua scored 0.
LD Alajuelense vs CD Motagua prediction
LD Alajuelense vs CD Motagua prediction and best bet
LD Alajuelense are a narrow favourite in the LD Alajuelense vs CD Motagua prediction, rated 52% to win this CONCACAF Central American Cup match on Friday, 30 October 2026. CD Motagua sit at 22% and the draw at 27%.
The goal expectancy is 2.50 in total, split 1.56 to LD Alajuelense and 0.94 to CD Motagua. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 45% and both teams to score 50%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is lD Alajuelense to win at 52%. At 1.80 with 22Bet the market prices it at 56%, against 52% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
LD Alajuelense or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 78% chance, priced 1.17.
Form check: LD Alajuelense have won 3 of their last 5 with 6 scored and 3 conceded, CD Motagua 3 of 5 scoring 7 and conceding 2.
How many goals in LD Alajuelense vs CD Motagua? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 71%, over 2.5 at 45%, over 3.5 at 24%; under 2.5 is 55% and under 3.5 is 76%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 55%, best priced 1.71 at 1xBet.
BTTS yes stands at 50%. LD Alajuelense score in 79% of simulations against a 21% clean sheet for CD Motagua; CD Motagua score in 61% while LD Alajuelense shut them out 39% of the time.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for LD Alajuelense vs CD Motagua: 1-0 (12.8%), 1-1 (12%) and 2-0 (10%).
With the top scoreline at 12.8%, correct score stays a long-odds market for LD Alajuelense vs CD Motagua; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time LD Alajuelense, full-time LD Alajuelense is the top combination at 32%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 68%.
All markets, LD Alajuelense vs CD Motagua
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for LD Alajuelense vs CD Motagua, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
LD Alajuelense to win52%1.80
Draw27%3.36
CD Motagua to win22%4.63
LD Alajuelense, draw no bet71%fair 1.42
CD Motagua, draw no bet30%fair 3.39
Double chance
LD Alajuelense or draw78%1.17
CD Motagua or draw49%1.94
LD Alajuelense or CD Motagua (no draw)73%1.30
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals71%fair 1.40
Over 2.5 goals45%2.22
Over 3.5 goals24%fair 4.13
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 9.17
Under 1.5 goals29%fair 3.48
Under 2.5 goals55%1.71
Under 3.5 goals76%fair 1.32
BTTS
Both teams to score50%2.21
Not both teams to score50%1.84
Halves
First-half goal68%fair 1.48
Over 1.5 first-half goals31%fair 3.23
Second-half goal75%fair 1.34
Team goals
LD Alajuelense to score79%fair 1.27
CD Motagua to score61%fair 1.64
LD Alajuelense clean sheet39%fair 2.56
CD Motagua clean sheet21%fair 4.76
LD Alajuelense to win to nil36%fair 2.79
CD Motagua to win to nil19%fair 5.18
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-012.8%
1-112%
2-010%
2-19.4%
0-08.2%
0-17.7%
Half-time / full-time
LD Alajuelense / LD Alajuelense31.7%
Draw / LD Alajuelense17.7%
Draw / Draw16.2%
CD Motagua / CD Motagua12.5%
Draw / CD Motagua8.9%
Questions about LD Alajuelense vs CD Motagua
Who will win LD Alajuelense vs CD Motagua?
The model gives LD Alajuelense the best chance at 52%, with the draw at 27%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
LD Alajuelense vs CD Motagua correct score: what does the model say?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 12.8%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 45%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in LD Alajuelense vs CD Motagua?
The BTTS yes line is rated 50%. LD Alajuelense find the net in 79% of simulated matches and CD Motagua in 61%.
When do LD Alajuelense play CD Motagua?
Kick-off is 02:00 UTC on Friday, 30 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.