Liga Nacional
CD MotaguaHomeWDWLW
2:0Half-time 0:0
JuticalpaAwayWLLLL77149
CD Motagua winDrawJuticalpa win
CD MotaguaHomeWDWLWJuticalpaAwayWLLLL- Kick-off Sun 25 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.63 2.74 : 0.89
- Favourite
- 77% CD Motagua
- Over 2.5 goals
- 68% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 58% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
CD Motagua vs Juticalpa betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.22 | 5.70 | 8.75 | 1.27 | 3.14 | 1.56 | 2.22 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.35 | 4.95 | 6.01 | 1.29 | 3.40 | 1.41 | 2.62 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.38 | 4.70 | 6.20 | 1.30 | 3.25 | 1.44 | 2.46 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.35 | 4.95 | 6.01 | 1.28 | 3.50 | 1.41 | 2.62 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.35 | 4.95 | 6.01 | 1.28 | 3.50 | 1.41 | 2.62 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
CD Motagua to win partner prices
BC.Game pay the best CD Motagua price at 1.38, 1xBet lead the draw at 5.70 and 1xBet have Juticalpa longest at 8.75.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 98.6%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.30 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 3.50 (Betwinner); both teams to score yes pays 1.56 (1xBet) and no 2.62 (Betwinner).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
77%
Our prediction
CD Motagua to win
Double chanceCD Motagua or draw
91% chance1.07
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
68% chance1.30
BTTSBoth teams to score
58% chance1.56
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
88% chance1.14fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
10% chance10.00fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time CD Motagua, full-time CD Motagua
53% chance1.87fair
CD Motagua vs Juticalpa prediction
CD Motagua vs Juticalpa prediction and best bet
CD Motagua vs Juticalpa prediction for the Liga Nacional on Sunday, 25 October 2026: the model makes CD Motagua the clear favourite at 77%, with the draw at 14% and Juticalpa at 9%.
The goal expectancy is 3.63 in total, split 2.74 to CD Motagua and 0.89 to Juticalpa. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 68% and both teams to score 58%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for CD Motagua vs Juticalpa is cD Motagua to win, a 77% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.38 at BC.Game, which implies 72%, so the model sits 4 points above the market.
That gap is worth 6% on a flat stake, which makes the pick a value bet as well as a probable outcome.
CD Motagua or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 91% chance, priced 1.07.
With the draw down at 14%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.
Form check: CD Motagua have won 3 of their last 5 with 7 scored and 2 conceded, Juticalpa 1 of 5 scoring 6 and conceding 11.
Goals forecast for CD Motagua vs Juticalpa with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
On the goal lines CD Motagua vs Juticalpa reads 88% for over 1.5, 68% for over 2.5 and 49% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 32%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 68%, best priced 1.30 at BC.Game.
Both teams to score is 58%: CD Motagua find the net in 94% of simulated matches and Juticalpa in 59%. CD Motagua keep a clean sheet 41% of the time and Juticalpa 7%.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 58%.
Correct score: 2-0 leads at 10%, then 3-0 at 9.1% and 2-1 at 8.9%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 10% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time CD Motagua, full-time CD Motagua is the top combination at 53%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 81%.
Every market rated for CD Motagua vs Juticalpa
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for CD Motagua vs Juticalpa, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
CD Motagua to win77%1.38
Draw14%5.70
Juticalpa to win9%8.75
CD Motagua, draw no bet90%fair 1.12
Juticalpa, draw no bet11%fair 9.52
Double chance
CD Motagua or draw91%1.07
Juticalpa or draw23%3.45
CD Motagua or Juticalpa (no draw)86%1.13
Goals
Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals88%fair 1.14
Over 2.5 goals68%1.30
Over 3.5 goals49%fair 2.04
Over 4.5 goals30%fair 3.34
Under 1.5 goals12%fair 8.13
Under 2.5 goals32%3.50
Under 3.5 goals51%fair 1.96
BTTS
Both teams to score58%1.56
Not both teams to score42%2.62
Halves
First-half goal81%fair 1.24
Over 1.5 first-half goals49%fair 2.06
Second-half goal86%fair 1.16
Team goals
CD Motagua to score94%fair 1.07
Juticalpa to score59%fair 1.70
CD Motagua clean sheet41%fair 2.43
Juticalpa clean sheet7%fair 15.38
CD Motagua to win to nil38%fair 2.65
Juticalpa to win to nil6%fair 16.95
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
2-010%
3-09.1%
2-18.9%
3-18.1%
1-07.3%
1-16.5%
Half-time / full-time
CD Motagua / CD Motagua53.4%
Draw / CD Motagua19%
Draw / Draw7.8%
Juticalpa / Juticalpa5.2%
Draw / Juticalpa3.6%
Questions about CD Motagua vs Juticalpa
Who will win CD Motagua vs Juticalpa?
The model gives CD Motagua the best chance at 77%, with the draw at 14%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
CD Motagua vs Juticalpa correct score: what does the model say?
2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 10%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 68% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in CD Motagua vs Juticalpa?
The BTTS yes line is rated 58%. CD Motagua find the net in 94% of simulated matches and Juticalpa in 59%.
When is CD Motagua vs Juticalpa and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 21:00 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.