Liga Nacional
Atletico IndependienteHomeLDLDL
2:2Half-time 1:2
CD MarathonAwayWWDDL202555
Atletico Independiente winDrawCD Marathon win
Atletico IndependienteHomeLDLDLCD MarathonAwayWWDDL- Kick-off Sun 25 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.60 0.93 : 1.67
- Favourite
- 55% CD Marathon
- Over 2.5 goals
- 48% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 50% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Best odds for Atletico Independiente vs CD Marathon
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 4.56 | 3.54 | 1.65 | 1.89 | 1.78 | 1.82 | 1.85 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
CD Marathon to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Atletico Independiente vs CD Marathon are 4.56 for Atletico Independiente at 1xBet, 3.54 for the draw at 1xBet and 1.65 for CD Marathon at 1xBet.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 90.3%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.89 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.78 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.82 (1xBet) and no 1.85 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
55%
Our prediction
CD Marathon to win
Double chanceCD Marathon or draw
80% chance1.13
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
53% chance1.78
BTTSNot both teams to score
50% chance1.85
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
73% chance1.36fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-1
12% chance8.06fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time CD Marathon, full-time CD Marathon
34% chance2.94fair
Atletico Independiente vs CD Marathon prediction
Atletico Independiente vs CD Marathon prediction, who wins and at what price
Atletico Independiente host CD Marathon on Sunday, 25 October 2026 in the Liga Nacional, and the model has CD Marathon at 55%, the draw at 25% and Atletico Independiente at 20%: that is the Atletico Independiente vs CD Marathon prediction in one line.
Atletico Independiente are expected to score 0.93 and CD Marathon 1.67, so the total line is 2.60 goals; over 2.5 lands at 48% and BTTS at 50%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
CD Marathon to win is the main selection, rated 55%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.65. That price implies 61%, 6 points over the model figure.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
CD Marathon or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 80% chance, priced 1.13.
Form check: Atletico Independiente have won 0 of their last 5 with 4 scored and 14 conceded, CD Marathon 2 of 5 scoring 6 and conceding 6.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Atletico Independiente vs CD Marathon
On the goal lines Atletico Independiente vs CD Marathon reads 73% for over 1.5, 48% for over 2.5 and 26% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 53%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 53%; 1xBet pay 1.78.
BTTS yes stands at 50%. Atletico Independiente score in 61% of simulations against a 40% clean sheet for CD Marathon; CD Marathon score in 81% while Atletico Independiente shut them out 19% of the time.
Correct score: 0-1 leads at 12.4%, then 1-1 at 11.5% and 0-2 at 10.4%.
With the top scoreline at 12.4%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Atletico Independiente vs CD Marathon; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time CD Marathon, full-time CD Marathon is the top combination at 34%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 69%.
Every market rated for Atletico Independiente vs CD Marathon
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 20% / 25% / 55% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Atletico Independiente to win20%4.56
Draw25%3.54
CD Marathon to win55%1.65
Atletico Independiente, draw no bet27%fair 3.70
CD Marathon, draw no bet73%fair 1.37
Double chance
Atletico Independiente or draw46%1.99
CD Marathon or draw80%1.13
Atletico Independiente or CD Marathon (no draw)75%1.21
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals73%fair 1.36
Over 2.5 goals48%1.89
Over 3.5 goals26%fair 3.79
Over 4.5 goals12%fair 8.13
Under 1.5 goals27%fair 3.75
Under 2.5 goals53%1.78
Under 3.5 goals74%fair 1.36
BTTS
Both teams to score50%1.82
Not both teams to score50%1.85
Halves
First-half goal69%fair 1.45
Over 1.5 first-half goals33%fair 3.06
Second-half goal76%fair 1.31
Team goals
Atletico Independiente to score61%fair 1.65
CD Marathon to score81%fair 1.23
Atletico Independiente clean sheet19%fair 5.32
CD Marathon clean sheet40%fair 2.53
Atletico Independiente to win to nil17%fair 5.78
CD Marathon to win to nil36%fair 2.75
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
0-112.4%
1-111.5%
0-210.4%
1-29.6%
0-07.4%
1-06.9%
Half-time / full-time
CD Marathon / CD Marathon34%
Draw / CD Marathon18.2%
Draw / Draw15.2%
Atletico Independiente / Atletico Independiente11.5%
Draw / Atletico Independiente8.2%
Questions about Atletico Independiente vs CD Marathon
Atletico Independiente or CD Marathon: which side does the model back?
The model gives CD Marathon the best chance at 55%, with the draw at 25%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
Atletico Independiente vs CD Marathon correct score: what does the model say?
0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.4%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 48%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Atletico Independiente vs CD Marathon?
The BTTS yes line is rated 50%. Atletico Independiente find the net in 61% of simulated matches and CD Marathon in 81%.
When is Atletico Independiente vs CD Marathon and where is the result shown?
Atletico Independiente vs CD Marathon starts at 00:30 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.