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Live 9 UTC
Liga Nacional Apertura - 11 Saturday, 24 October 2026 FT
OlanchoHomeDDLD
3:3Half-time 1:0
Estrella RojaAwayLLWDW
542422
Olancho winDrawEstrella Roja win
Kick-off
Sat 24 Oct
Expected goals
2.88
1.80 : 1.08
Favourite
54%
Olancho
Over 2.5 goals
55%
model chance
Both teams to score
56%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Olancho vs Estrella Roja betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.713.683.961.632.101.602.15Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Olancho to win partner prices

1xBet pay the best Olancho price at 1.71, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.68 and 1xBet have Estrella Roja longest at 3.96.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 90.2%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.63 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.10 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.60 (1xBet) and no 2.15 (1xBet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

54%

Our prediction

Olancho to win
StrongExpected goals 1.80 : 1.08-7.8% against the best price
Double chanceOlancho or draw
78% chance1.17
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
55% chance1.63
BTTSBoth teams to score
56% chance1.60
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
78% chance1.28fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.17fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Olancho, full-time Olancho
34% chance2.94fair

Olancho vs Estrella Roja prediction

Our Olancho vs Estrella Roja prediction and pick

The Olancho vs Estrella Roja prediction leans to Olancho: 54% against 22% for Estrella Roja, with 24% left for the draw, in the Liga Nacional on Saturday, 24 October 2026.

The goal expectancy is 2.88 in total, split 1.80 to Olancho and 1.08 to Estrella Roja. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 55% and both teams to score 56%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Our main pick is olancho to win at 54%. At 1.71 with 1xBet the market prices it at 58%, against 54% from the model.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Olancho vs Estrella Roja.

For a safer line, olancho or draw covers 78% of outcomes at 1.17.

Over the last 4 matches Olancho stand at 0 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Estrella Roja show 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats in 5.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Olancho vs Estrella Roja

On the goal lines Olancho vs Estrella Roja reads 78% for over 1.5, 55% for over 2.5 and 33% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 46%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 55%, best priced 1.63 at 1xBet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 56%, built from Olancho scoring in 84% of runs and Estrella Roja in 66%; clean sheets come at 34% for Olancho and 17% for Estrella Roja.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 10.9%, then 1-0 at 10.1% and 2-1 at 9.8%.

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Olancho, full-time Olancho is the top combination at 34%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 73%.

Every market rated for Olancho vs Estrella Roja

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Olancho vs Estrella Roja, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Olancho to win54%1.71
Draw24%3.68
Estrella Roja to win22%3.96
Olancho, draw no bet71%fair 1.40
Estrella Roja, draw no bet29%fair 3.47

Double chance

Olancho or draw78%1.17
Estrella Roja or draw46%1.91
Olancho or Estrella Roja (no draw)76%1.19

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals78%fair 1.28
Over 2.5 goals55%1.63
Over 3.5 goals33%fair 3.07
Over 4.5 goals17%fair 6.06
Under 1.5 goals22%fair 4.59
Under 2.5 goals46%2.10
Under 3.5 goals67%fair 1.48

BTTS

Both teams to score56%1.60
Not both teams to score44%2.15

Halves

First-half goal73%fair 1.38
Over 1.5 first-half goals37%fair 2.69
Second-half goal80%fair 1.26

Team goals

Olancho to score84%fair 1.20
Estrella Roja to score66%fair 1.52
Olancho clean sheet34%fair 2.94
Estrella Roja clean sheet17%fair 6.06
Olancho to win to nil31%fair 3.21
Estrella Roja to win to nil15%fair 6.58

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-110.9%
1-010.1%
2-19.8%
2-09.1%
0-16.1%
1-25.9%

Half-time / full-time

Olancho / Olancho34%
Draw / Olancho17.3%
Draw / Draw13.5%
Estrella Roja / Estrella Roja12.7%
Draw / Estrella Roja8.4%

Questions about Olancho vs Estrella Roja

Who is favourite in Olancho vs Estrella Roja?

The model gives Olancho the best chance at 54%, with the draw at 24%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

What is the correct score prediction for Olancho vs Estrella Roja?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.9%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 55% backs the same picture with less variance.

Olancho vs Estrella Roja both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 56%. Olancho find the net in 84% of simulated matches and Estrella Roja in 66%.

What time does Olancho vs Estrella Roja kick off?

Kick-off is 01:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Olancho v Estrella RojaOlancho to win, 54%
1.71Bet