Liga Nacional
Atlético CholomaHomeWLWWL
3:1Half-time 2:0
GénesisAwayDLLLL352738
Atlético Choloma winDrawGénesis win
Atlético CholomaHomeWLWWLGénesisAwayDLLLL- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.62 1.27 : 1.35
- Favourite
- 38% Génesis
- Over 2.5 goals
- 48% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 54% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Atlético Choloma vs Génesis odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.62 | 3.30 | 2.29 | 1.80 | 1.87 | 1.63 | 2.10 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Génesis to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Atlético Choloma vs Génesis prediction: Atlético Choloma 2.62 (1xBet), draw 3.30 (1xBet), Génesis 2.29 (1xBet).
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 89.2%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.80 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.87 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.63 (1xBet) and no 2.10 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
73%
Our prediction
Atlético Choloma or Génesis (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
52% chance1.87
BTTSBoth teams to score
54% chance1.63
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
74% chance1.36fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance8.00fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Génesis, full-time Génesis
23% chance4.39fair
First halfFirst-half goal
69% chance1.45fair
Atlético Choloma vs Génesis prediction
Our Atlético Choloma vs Génesis prediction and pick
Nothing separates the sides in the Atlético Choloma vs Génesis prediction for Saturday, 24 October 2026: 35% home, 27% draw and 38% away in the Liga Nacional. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.
Atlético Choloma are expected to score 1.27 and Génesis 1.35, so the total line is 2.62 goals; over 2.5 lands at 48% and BTTS at 54%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Atlético Choloma or Génesis (no draw) is the main selection, rated 73%. The best price in our comparison is 1.22 at 1xBet, which implies 82%, so the model sits 9 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Atlético Choloma vs Génesis.
Form check: Atlético Choloma have won 3 of their last 5 with 8 scored and 7 conceded, Génesis 0 of 5 scoring 5 and conceding 10.
Atlético Choloma vs Génesis goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
On the goal lines Atlético Choloma vs Génesis reads 74% for over 1.5, 48% for over 2.5 and 27% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 52%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 52%; 1xBet pay 1.87.
The chance of both teams scoring is 54%, built from Atlético Choloma scoring in 72% of runs and Génesis in 74%; clean sheets come at 26% for Atlético Choloma and 28% for Génesis.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Atlético Choloma vs Génesis: 1-1 (12.5%), 0-1 (9.8%) and 1-0 (9.2%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.5% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Génesis, full-time Génesis leads at 23%. A goal before the break is rated 69%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Atlético Choloma vs Génesis
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 35% / 27% / 38% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Atlético Choloma to win35%2.62
Draw27%3.30
Génesis to win38%2.29
Atlético Choloma, draw no bet48%fair 2.10
Génesis, draw no bet52%fair 1.91
Double chance
Atlético Choloma or draw62%1.46
Génesis or draw65%1.35
Atlético Choloma or Génesis (no draw)73%1.22
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals74%fair 1.36
Over 2.5 goals48%1.80
Over 3.5 goals27%fair 3.73
Over 4.5 goals13%fair 8.00
Under 1.5 goals26%fair 3.79
Under 2.5 goals52%1.87
Under 3.5 goals73%fair 1.37
BTTS
Both teams to score54%1.63
Not both teams to score46%2.10
Halves
First-half goal69%fair 1.45
Over 1.5 first-half goals33%fair 3.03
Second-half goal76%fair 1.31
Team goals
Atlético Choloma to score72%fair 1.39
Génesis to score74%fair 1.35
Atlético Choloma clean sheet26%fair 3.86
Génesis clean sheet28%fair 3.56
Atlético Choloma to win to nil24%fair 4.18
Génesis to win to nil26%fair 3.88
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.5%
0-19.8%
1-09.2%
1-28.4%
2-17.9%
0-07.3%
Half-time / full-time
Génesis / Génesis22.8%
Atlético Choloma / Atlético Choloma20.3%
Draw / Draw16%
Draw / Génesis13.8%
Draw / Atlético Choloma12.7%
Questions about Atlético Choloma vs Génesis
Who is favourite in Atlético Choloma vs Génesis?
The model gives Génesis the best chance at 38%, with the draw at 27%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What scoreline is most likely in Atlético Choloma vs Génesis?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.5%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 48% backs the same picture with less variance.
Atlético Choloma vs Génesis both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 54%. Atlético Choloma find the net in 72% of simulated matches and Génesis in 74%.
What time does Atlético Choloma vs Génesis kick off?
Kick-off is 21:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.