DFB-Pokal
1. FC KölnHomeWLDWD
5:0Half-time 1:0
Union BerlinAwayWDDLD522424
1. FC Köln winDrawUnion Berlin win
1. FC KölnHomeWLDWDUnion BerlinAwayWDDLD- Kick-off Tue 27 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.11 1.88 : 1.23
- Favourite
- 52% 1. FC Köln
- Over 2.5 goals
- 60% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 60% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Best odds for 1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.80 | 3.78 | 4.03 | 1.62 | 2.22 | 1.57 | 2.26 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
1. FC Köln to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for 1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin are 1.80 for 1. FC Köln at 1xBet, 3.78 for the draw at 1xBet and 4.03 for Union Berlin at 1xBet.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 93.6%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.62 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.22 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.57 (1xBet) and no 2.26 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
52%
Our prediction
1. FC Köln to win
Double chance1. FC Köln or Union Berlin (no draw)
76% chance1.24
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
60% chance1.62
BTTSBoth teams to score
60% chance1.57
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
82% chance1.22fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance9.71fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time 1. FC Köln, full-time 1. FC Köln
33% chance3.02fair
1. FC Köln v Union Berlin head to head
01. FC Köln wins
1Draw
0Union Berlin wins
- 1 Nov 26Union Berlin1:11. FC Köln
1 meeting since coverage began, 2 goals in total: 1. FC Köln scored 1, Union Berlin scored 1.
1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin prediction
Our 1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin prediction and pick
1. FC Köln host Union Berlin on Tuesday, 27 October 2026 in the DFB-Pokal, and the model has 1. FC Köln at 52%, the draw at 24% and Union Berlin at 24%: that is the 1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin prediction in one line.
1. FC Köln are expected to score 1.88 and Union Berlin 1.23, so the total line is 3.11 goals; over 2.5 lands at 60% and BTTS at 60%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is 1. FC Köln to win at 52%. The best price in our comparison is 1.80 at 1xBet, which implies 56%, so the model sits 3 points below the market.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
1. FC Köln or Union Berlin (no draw) is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 76% chance, priced 1.24.
1. FC Köln average 1.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded across their last 5, Union Berlin 0.6 and 1.4 across 5.
1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
On the goal lines 1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin reads 82% for over 1.5, 60% for over 2.5 and 38% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 40%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 60%, best priced 1.62 at 1xBet.
Both teams to score is 60%: 1. FC Köln find the net in 85% of simulated matches and Union Berlin in 71%. 1. FC Köln keep a clean sheet 29% of the time and Union Berlin 15%.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 60%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 10.3%, followed by 2-1 (9.7%) and 1-0 (8.4%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 10.3% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time 1. FC Köln, full-time 1. FC Köln is the top combination at 33%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 75%.
Every market for 1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 52% / 24% / 24% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
1. FC Köln to win52%1.80
Draw24%3.78
Union Berlin to win24%4.03
1. FC Köln, draw no bet68%fair 1.47
Union Berlin, draw no bet32%fair 3.14
Double chance
1. FC Köln or draw76%1.22
Union Berlin or draw48%1.95
1. FC Köln or Union Berlin (no draw)76%1.24
Goals
Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals82%fair 1.22
Over 2.5 goals60%1.62
Over 3.5 goals38%fair 2.65
Over 4.5 goals20%fair 4.90
Under 1.5 goals18%fair 5.46
Under 2.5 goals40%2.22
Under 3.5 goals62%fair 1.61
BTTS
Both teams to score60%1.57
Not both teams to score40%2.26
Halves
First-half goal75%fair 1.33
Over 1.5 first-half goals41%fair 2.45
Second-half goal82%fair 1.22
Team goals
1. FC Köln to score85%fair 1.18
Union Berlin to score71%fair 1.41
1. FC Köln clean sheet29%fair 3.42
Union Berlin clean sheet15%fair 6.54
1. FC Köln to win to nil27%fair 3.72
Union Berlin to win to nil14%fair 7.14
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-110.3%
2-19.7%
1-08.4%
2-07.9%
1-26.3%
3-16.1%
Half-time / full-time
1. FC Köln / 1. FC Köln33.1%
Draw / 1. FC Köln16.3%
Union Berlin / Union Berlin14.2%
Draw / Draw12.5%
Draw / Union Berlin8.9%
Questions about 1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin
Who is favourite in 1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin?
The model gives 1. FC Köln the best chance at 52%, with the draw at 24%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What is the correct score prediction for 1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.3%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 60%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in 1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin?
The BTTS yes line is rated 60%. 1. FC Köln find the net in 85% of simulated matches and Union Berlin in 71%.
When is 1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin and where is the result shown?
1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin starts at 19:45 UTC on Tuesday, 27 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.