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Bundesliga Round 8 Sunday, 1 November 2026 FT
Union BerlinHomeWDDLD
1:1Half-time 1:0
1. FC KölnAwayWLDWD
362737
Union Berlin winDraw1. FC Köln win
Kick-off
Sun 1 Nov
Expected goals
2.95
1.47 : 1.48
Favourite
37%
1. FC Köln
Over 2.5 goals
56%
model chance
Both teams to score
61%
model chance
Prices compared
2
in the odds table

Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.723.782.611.772.221.562.30Bet
22Bet2.713.402.561.851.951.572.41Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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1. FC Köln to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln prediction: Union Berlin 2.72 (1xBet), draw 3.78 (1xBet), 1. FC Köln 2.61 (1xBet).

The best-price payout across the three results is 98.5%, several points better than any single book offers here.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.85 (22Bet) and under 2.5 2.22 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.57 (22Bet) and no 2.41 (22Bet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

73%

Our prediction

Union Berlin or 1. FC Köln (no draw)
LeanLostExpected goals 1.47 : 1.48-2.4% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
56% chance1.85Lost
BTTSBoth teams to score
61% chance1.57Won
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
79% chance1.26fairWon
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance8.77fairWon
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time 1. FC Köln, full-time 1. FC Köln
23% chance4.42fairLost
First halfFirst-half goal
74% chance1.36fairWon

Union Berlin v 1. FC Köln head to head

0Union Berlin wins
0Draws
11. FC Köln wins
  • 27 Oct 261. FC Köln5:0Union Berlin

1 meeting since coverage began, 5 goals in total: Union Berlin scored 0, 1. FC Köln scored 5.

Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln odds movement

Union Berlin win2.72-0.02
Draw3.78unchanged
1. FC Köln win2.61-0.04
Over 2.5 goals1.85unchanged
Under 2.5 goals2.22unchanged

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 23:58 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln prediction

Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln prediction, who wins and at what price

Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln prediction for the Bundesliga on Sunday, 1 November 2026: the model calls it close, Union Berlin 36%, draw 27%, 1. FC Köln 37%. With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.

The goal expectancy is 2.95 in total, split 1.47 to Union Berlin and 1.48 to 1. FC Köln. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 56% and both teams to score 61%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Our main pick is union Berlin or 1. FC Köln (no draw) at 73%. The best price in our comparison is 1.33 at 1xBet, which implies 75%, so the model sits 2 points below the market.

Union Berlin average 0.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded across their last 5, 1. FC Köln 1.6 and 0.6 across 5.

How many goals in Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

On the goal lines Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln reads 79% for over 1.5, 56% for over 2.5 and 34% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 44%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 56%; 22Bet pay 1.85.

Both teams to score is 61%: Union Berlin find the net in 77% of simulated matches and 1. FC Köln in 77%. Union Berlin keep a clean sheet 23% of the time and 1. FC Köln 23%.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 61%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln: 1-1 (11.4%), 1-2 (8.4%) and 2-1 (8.4%).

With the top scoreline at 11.4%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time 1. FC Köln, full-time 1. FC Köln leads at 23%. A goal before the break is rated 74%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 36% / 27% / 37% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Union Berlin to win36%2.72
Draw27%3.78
1. FC Köln to win37%2.61
Union Berlin, draw no bet50%fair 2.02
1. FC Köln, draw no bet50%fair 1.98

Double chance

Union Berlin or draw63%1.58
1. FC Köln or draw64%1.54
Union Berlin or 1. FC Köln (no draw)73%1.33

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals79%fair 1.26
Over 2.5 goals56%1.85
Over 3.5 goals34%fair 2.92
Over 4.5 goals18%fair 5.68
Under 1.5 goals21%fair 4.83
Under 2.5 goals44%2.22
Under 3.5 goals66%fair 1.52

BTTS

Both teams to score61%1.57
Not both teams to score39%2.41

Halves

First-half goal74%fair 1.36
Over 1.5 first-half goals38%fair 2.61
Second-half goal80%fair 1.25

Team goals

Union Berlin to score77%fair 1.30
1. FC Köln to score77%fair 1.30
Union Berlin clean sheet23%fair 4.39
1. FC Köln clean sheet23%fair 4.35
Union Berlin to win to nil21%fair 4.78
1. FC Köln to win to nil21%fair 4.72

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-111.4%
1-28.4%
2-18.4%
0-17.7%
1-07.7%
2-26.2%

Half-time / full-time

1. FC Köln / 1. FC Köln22.6%
Union Berlin / Union Berlin22.3%
Draw / Draw13.9%
Draw / 1. FC Köln12.9%
Draw / Union Berlin12.8%

Questions about Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln

Who will win Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln?

The model gives 1. FC Köln the best chance at 37%, with the draw at 27%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

What scoreline is most likely in Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.4%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 56%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Is BTTS likely in Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln?

The BTTS yes line is rated 61%. Union Berlin find the net in 77% of simulated matches and 1. FC Köln in 77%.

What time does Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln kick off?

Kick-off is 14:30 UTC on Sunday, 1 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Union Berlin v 1. FC KölnUnion Berlin or 1. FC Köln (no draw), 73%
1.33Bet