PlzenHomeWLLWW
PardubiceAwayLWWWL
PlzenHomeWLLWW
PardubiceAwayLWWWL| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.61 | 4.15 | 4.62 | 1.51 | 2.26 | 1.58 | 2.23 | Bet | |
| 1.70 | 3.98 | 4.70 | 1.65 | 2.24 | 1.65 | 2.25 | Bet | |
| 1.62 | 4.00 | 4.50 | 1.57 | 2.28 | 1.58 | 2.16 | Bet | |
| 1.70 | 3.98 | 4.70 | 1.65 | 2.24 | 1.65 | 2.25 | Bet | |
| 1.70 | 3.98 | 4.70 | 1.65 | 2.24 | 1.65 | 2.25 | Bet | |
| 1.65 | 3.95 | 4.50 | 1.55 | 2.25 | 1.59 | 2.17 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Best 1X2 lines behind the Plzen vs Pardubice prediction: Plzen 1.70 (22Bet), draw 4.15 (1xBet), Pardubice 4.70 (22Bet).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 95.8%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.65 (22Bet) and under 2.5 2.28 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 1.65 (22Bet) and no 2.25 (22Bet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
Our prediction
Plzen are a narrow favourite in the Plzen vs Pardubice prediction, rated 57% to win this Czech Liga match on Sunday, 25 October 2026. Pardubice sit at 21% and the draw at 22%.
Expected goals are 1.97 for Plzen and 1.13 for Pardubice, a total of 3.10, which puts over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 60%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is plzen to win at 57%. 22Bet offer the top price at 1.70. That price implies 59%, 2 points over the model figure.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Plzen or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 79% chance, priced 1.19.
Plzen average 3.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded across their last 5, Pardubice 2.0 and 1.2 across 5.
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 82%, over 2.5 at 59%, over 3.5 at 38%; under 2.5 is 41% and under 3.5 is 63%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 59%, best priced 1.65 at 22Bet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 60%, built from Plzen scoring in 86% of runs and Pardubice in 68%; clean sheets come at 32% for Plzen and 14% for Pardubice.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 60%.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 10%, then 2-1 at 9.9% and 1-0 at 8.9%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 10% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Plzen, full-time Plzen leads at 36%. A goal before the break is rated 75%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
The grid built from 1.97 and 1.13 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Double chance
Goals
BTTS
Halves
Team goals
Odd or even
Most likely scores
Half-time / full-time
The model gives Plzen the best chance at 57%, with the draw at 22%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 59%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
The BTTS yes line is rated 60%. Plzen find the net in 86% of simulated matches and Pardubice in 68%.
Plzen vs Pardubice starts at 17:00 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.