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Czech Liga Round 11 Sunday, 18 October 2026 FT
FK JablonecHomeLLDWL
2:3Half-time 0:2
PlzenAwayWLLWW
412732
FK Jablonec winDrawPlzen win
Kick-off
Sun 18 Oct
Expected goals
2.79
1.48 : 1.31
Favourite
41%
FK Jablonec
Over 2.5 goals
53%
model chance
Both teams to score
57%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

FK Jablonec vs Plzen betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.303.442.821.791.941.632.14Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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FK Jablonec to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for FK Jablonec vs Plzen are 2.30 for FK Jablonec at 1xBet, 3.44 for the draw at 1xBet and 2.82 for Plzen at 1xBet.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 92.6%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.79 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.94 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.63 (1xBet) and no 2.14 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

73%

Our prediction

FK Jablonec or Plzen (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.48 : 1.31-7.2% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
53% chance1.79
BTTSBoth teams to score
57% chance1.63
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
77% chance1.30fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.40fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time FK Jablonec, full-time FK Jablonec
25% chance4.07fair
First halfFirst-half goal
72% chance1.40fair

FK Jablonec vs Plzen prediction

FK Jablonec vs Plzen prediction, who wins and at what price

FK Jablonec are marginally ahead in the FK Jablonec vs Plzen prediction, rated 41% to win this Czech Liga match on Sunday, 18 October 2026. Plzen sit at 33% and the draw at 27%.

Expected goals are 1.48 for FK Jablonec and 1.31 for Plzen, a total of 2.79, which puts over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 57%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Our main pick is fK Jablonec or Plzen (no draw) at 73%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.27. That price implies 79%, 6 points over the model figure.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Over the last 5 matches FK Jablonec stand at 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Plzen show 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in 5.

FK Jablonec vs Plzen goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

Under 2.5 goals is rated 48% and under 3.5 69%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 77% and over 2.5 at 53%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 53%, best priced 1.79 at 1xBet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 57%, built from FK Jablonec scoring in 77% of runs and Plzen in 73%; clean sheets come at 27% for FK Jablonec and 23% for Plzen.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 11.9%, then 1-0 at 9.1% and 2-1 at 8.8%.

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time FK Jablonec, full-time FK Jablonec leads at 25%. A goal before the break is rated 72%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for FK Jablonec vs Plzen

The grid built from 1.48 and 1.31 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

FK Jablonec to win41%2.30
Draw27%3.44
Plzen to win33%2.82
FK Jablonec, draw no bet56%fair 1.80
Plzen, draw no bet45%fair 2.25

Double chance

FK Jablonec or draw68%1.38
Plzen or draw60%1.55
FK Jablonec or Plzen (no draw)73%1.27

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals77%fair 1.30
Over 2.5 goals53%1.79
Over 3.5 goals31%fair 3.27
Over 4.5 goals15%fair 6.62
Under 1.5 goals23%fair 4.29
Under 2.5 goals48%1.94
Under 3.5 goals69%fair 1.44

BTTS

Both teams to score57%1.63
Not both teams to score43%2.14

Halves

First-half goal72%fair 1.40
Over 1.5 first-half goals36%fair 2.80
Second-half goal78%fair 1.28

Team goals

FK Jablonec to score77%fair 1.30
Plzen to score73%fair 1.37
FK Jablonec clean sheet27%fair 3.70
Plzen clean sheet23%fair 4.39
FK Jablonec to win to nil25%fair 4.03
Plzen to win to nil21%fair 4.78

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-111.9%
1-09.1%
2-18.8%
0-18%
1-27.8%
2-06.7%

Half-time / full-time

FK Jablonec / FK Jablonec24.6%
Plzen / Plzen19.5%
Draw / Draw14.8%
Draw / FK Jablonec14.1%
Draw / Plzen11.9%

Questions about FK Jablonec vs Plzen

Who will win FK Jablonec vs Plzen?

The model gives FK Jablonec the best chance at 41%, with the draw at 27%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

What is the correct score prediction for FK Jablonec vs Plzen?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.9%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 53%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Is BTTS likely in FK Jablonec vs Plzen?

The BTTS yes line is rated 57%. FK Jablonec find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Plzen in 73%.

When do FK Jablonec play Plzen?

Kick-off is 16:00 UTC on Sunday, 18 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, FK Jablonec v PlzenFK Jablonec or Plzen (no draw), 73%
1.27Bet