1. Division
AEK LarnacaHomeWDWWD
2:0Half-time 0:0
Omonia NicosiaAwayWDLLW282745
AEK Larnaca winDrawOmonia Nicosia win
AEK LarnacaHomeWDWWDOmonia NicosiaAwayWDLLW- Kick-off Mon 26 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.75 1.19 : 1.56
- Favourite
- 45% Omonia Nicosia
- Over 2.5 goals
- 52% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 55% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Nicosia odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 3.44 | 3.34 | 2.04 | 1.82 | 1.91 | 1.66 | 2.09 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.66 | 3.34 | 2.54 | 1.97 | 1.83 | 1.74 | 2.02 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.80 | 3.30 | 2.30 | 1.89 | 1.83 | 1.66 | 2.02 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.66 | 3.34 | 2.54 | 1.97 | 1.83 | 1.74 | 2.02 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.66 | 3.34 | 2.54 | 1.97 | 1.83 | 1.74 | 2.02 | Bet |
 Stake | 2.80 | 3.25 | 2.34 | 1.83 | 1.84 | 1.67 | 1.99 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Omonia Nicosia to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Nicosia are 3.44 for AEK Larnaca at 1xBet, 3.34 for the draw at 22Bet and 2.54 for Omonia Nicosia at 22Bet.
The best-price payout across the three results is 101.6%, several points better than any single book offers here.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.97 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.91 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.74 (Melbet) and no 2.09 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
73%
Our prediction
AEK Larnaca or Omonia Nicosia (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
52% chance1.97
BTTSBoth teams to score
55% chance1.74
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
76% chance1.32fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.40fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Omonia Nicosia, full-time Omonia Nicosia
28% chance3.60fair
First halfFirst-half goal
71% chance1.41fair
AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Nicosia prediction
AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Nicosia prediction and best bet
The AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Nicosia prediction leans to Omonia Nicosia: 45% against 28% for AEK Larnaca, with 27% left for the draw, in the 1. Division on Monday, 26 October 2026.
Expected goals are 1.19 for AEK Larnaca and 1.56 for Omonia Nicosia, a total of 2.75, which puts over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 55%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Nicosia is aEK Larnaca or Omonia Nicosia (no draw), a 73% chance. 22Bet offer the top price at 1.30. That price implies 77%, 4 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Nicosia.
AEK Larnaca average 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded across their last 5, Omonia Nicosia 1.6 and 1.6 across 5.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Nicosia
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 76%, over 2.5 at 52%, over 3.5 at 30%; under 2.5 is 48% and under 3.5 is 70%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 52%; 22Bet pay 1.97.
The chance of both teams scoring is 55%, built from AEK Larnaca scoring in 70% of runs and Omonia Nicosia in 79%; clean sheets come at 21% for AEK Larnaca and 30% for Omonia Nicosia.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Nicosia: 1-1 (11.9%), 0-1 (10%) and 1-2 (9.3%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.9% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Omonia Nicosia, full-time Omonia Nicosia is the top combination at 28%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 71%.
Every market for AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Nicosia
The grid built from 1.19 and 1.56 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
AEK Larnaca to win28%3.44
Draw27%3.34
Omonia Nicosia to win45%2.54
AEK Larnaca, draw no bet39%fair 2.60
Omonia Nicosia, draw no bet62%fair 1.63
Double chance
AEK Larnaca or draw55%1.69
Omonia Nicosia or draw72%1.44
AEK Larnaca or Omonia Nicosia (no draw)73%1.30
Goals
Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals76%fair 1.32
Over 2.5 goals52%1.97
Over 3.5 goals30%fair 3.37
Over 4.5 goals15%fair 6.90
Under 1.5 goals24%fair 4.17
Under 2.5 goals48%1.91
Under 3.5 goals70%fair 1.42
BTTS
Both teams to score55%1.74
Not both teams to score45%2.09
Halves
First-half goal71%fair 1.41
Over 1.5 first-half goals35%fair 2.85
Second-half goal78%fair 1.28
Team goals
AEK Larnaca to score70%fair 1.44
Omonia Nicosia to score79%fair 1.27
AEK Larnaca clean sheet21%fair 4.76
Omonia Nicosia clean sheet30%fair 3.29
AEK Larnaca to win to nil19%fair 5.18
Omonia Nicosia to win to nil28%fair 3.57
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-111.9%
0-110%
1-29.3%
0-27.8%
1-07.6%
2-17.1%
Half-time / full-time
Omonia Nicosia / Omonia Nicosia27.8%
AEK Larnaca / AEK Larnaca16.6%
Draw / Omonia Nicosia15.5%
Draw / Draw14.9%
Draw / AEK Larnaca10.6%
Questions about AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Nicosia
AEK Larnaca or Omonia Nicosia: which side does the model back?
The model gives Omonia Nicosia the best chance at 45%, with the draw at 27%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Nicosia correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.9%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 52% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Nicosia?
The BTTS yes line is rated 55%. AEK Larnaca find the net in 70% of simulated matches and Omonia Nicosia in 79%.
When is AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Nicosia and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 17:00 UTC on Monday, 26 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.