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Live 11 UTC
Europa League Matchday 4 Thursday, 5 November 2026 Kick-off
Celta VigoHomeLWWDL
Thu 5 Nov
Union St. GilloiseAwayDWWWW
472528
Celta Vigo winDrawUnion St. Gilloise win
Kick-off
Thu 5 Nov
Expected goals
3.00
1.71 : 1.29
Favourite
47%
Celta Vigo
Over 2.5 goals
57%
model chance
Both teams to score
60%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

Best odds for Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.113.823.381.712.241.562.30Bet
22Bet2.073.723.301.682.191.562.30Bet
BC.Game2.003.753.351.642.201.542.26Bet
Betwinner2.113.823.391.712.241.562.30Bet
Melbet2.113.823.391.712.241.562.30Bet
Stake2.023.653.301.612.181.562.24Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Celta Vigo to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise prediction: Celta Vigo 2.11 (Melbet), draw 3.82 (1xBet), Union St. Gilloise 3.39 (Melbet).

The best-price payout across the three results is 97%, several points better than any single book offers here.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.71 (Melbet) and under 2.5 2.24 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.56 (22Bet) and no 2.30 (22Bet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

75%

Our prediction

Celta Vigo or Union St. Gilloise (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.71 : 1.29-2.1% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
57% chance1.71
BTTSBoth teams to score
60% chance1.56
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
80% chance1.25fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.09fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Celta Vigo, full-time Celta Vigo
29% chance3.44fair
First halfFirst-half goal
74% chance1.35fair

Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise prediction

Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise prediction and best bet

The Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise prediction leans to Celta Vigo: 47% against 29% for Union St. Gilloise, with 25% left for the draw, in the Europa League on Thursday, 5 November 2026.

Expected goals are 1.71 for Celta Vigo and 1.29 for Union St. Gilloise, a total of 3.00, which puts over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams to score at 60%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

The pick for Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise is celta Vigo or Union St. Gilloise (no draw), a 75% chance. Betwinner offer the top price at 1.30. That price implies 77%, 2 points over the model figure.

Celta Vigo average 1.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded across their last 5, Union St. Gilloise 3.0 and 0.8 across 5.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise

Under 2.5 goals is rated 43% and under 3.5 65%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 80% and over 2.5 at 57%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 57%, best priced 1.71 at Melbet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 60%, built from Celta Vigo scoring in 82% of runs and Union St. Gilloise in 73%; clean sheets come at 28% for Celta Vigo and 18% for Union St. Gilloise.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 60%.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 11%, then 2-1 at 9.4% and 1-0 at 8.5%.

With the top scoreline at 11%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Celta Vigo, full-time Celta Vigo leads at 29%. A goal before the break is rated 74%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Celta Vigo to win47%2.11
Draw25%3.82
Union St. Gilloise to win29%3.39
Celta Vigo, draw no bet62%fair 1.61
Union St. Gilloise, draw no bet38%fair 2.63

Double chance

Celta Vigo or draw71%1.36
Union St. Gilloise or draw53%1.79
Celta Vigo or Union St. Gilloise (no draw)75%1.30

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals80%fair 1.25
Over 2.5 goals57%1.71
Over 3.5 goals35%fair 2.83
Over 4.5 goals19%fair 5.41
Under 1.5 goals20%fair 5.03
Under 2.5 goals43%2.24
Under 3.5 goals65%fair 1.55

BTTS

Both teams to score60%1.56
Not both teams to score40%2.30

Halves

First-half goal74%fair 1.35
Over 1.5 first-half goals39%fair 2.56
Second-half goal81%fair 1.24

Team goals

Celta Vigo to score82%fair 1.22
Union St. Gilloise to score73%fair 1.38
Celta Vigo clean sheet28%fair 3.64
Union St. Gilloise clean sheet18%fair 5.52
Celta Vigo to win to nil25%fair 3.95
Union St. Gilloise to win to nil17%fair 6.02

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-111%
2-19.4%
1-08.5%
2-07.3%
1-27.1%
0-16.4%

Half-time / full-time

Celta Vigo / Celta Vigo29.1%
Union St. Gilloise / Union St. Gilloise16.7%
Draw / Celta Vigo15.3%
Draw / Draw13.3%
Draw / Union St. Gilloise10.2%

Questions about Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise

Who will win Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise?

The model gives Celta Vigo the best chance at 47%, with the draw at 25%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

What is the correct score prediction for Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 57% backs the same picture with less variance.

Will both teams score in Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise?

The BTTS yes line is rated 60%. Celta Vigo find the net in 82% of simulated matches and Union St. Gilloise in 73%.

What time does Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise kick off?

Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise starts at 20:00 UTC on Thursday, 5 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Celta Vigo v Union St. GilloiseCelta Vigo or Union St. Gilloise (no draw), 75%
1.30Bet