Pro League
Round 9 Sunday, 25 October 2026
FT
Union St. GilloiseHomeDWWWW
5:2Half-time 0:1
Cercle BruggeAwayLLWLW741610
Union St. Gilloise winDrawCercle Brugge win
Pro League
Round 9 Sunday, 25 October 2026
FT
Union St. GilloiseHomeDWWWWCercle BruggeAwayLLWLW- Kick-off Sun 25 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.36 2.53 : 0.83
- Favourite
- 74% Union St. Gilloise
- Over 2.5 goals
- 65% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 52% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Best odds for Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.32 | 5.65 | 8.90 | 1.49 | 2.52 | 1.79 | 1.92 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.33 | 5.61 | 8.97 | 1.53 | 2.50 | 1.83 | 1.98 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.31 | 5.20 | 8.40 | 1.47 | 2.54 | 1.81 | 1.89 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.30 | 5.55 | 9.30 | 1.53 | 2.50 | 1.83 | 1.98 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.32 | 5.55 | 8.80 | 1.53 | 2.50 | 1.83 | 1.98 | Bet |
 Stake | 1.34 | 5.40 | 7.80 | 1.49 | 2.50 | 1.78 | 1.93 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Union St. Gilloise to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge are 1.34 for Union St. Gilloise at Stake, 5.65 for the draw at 1xBet and 9.30 for Cercle Brugge at Betwinner.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 97%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.53 (Betwinner) and under 2.5 2.54 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 1.83 (22Bet) and no 1.98 (22Bet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
74%
Our prediction
Union St. Gilloise to win
Double chanceUnion St. Gilloise or draw
90% chance1.08
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
65% chance1.53
BTTSBoth teams to score
52% chance1.83
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
85% chance1.18fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
11% chance9.01fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Union St. Gilloise, full-time Union St. Gilloise
51% chance1.95fair
Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge prediction
Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge prediction, who wins and at what price
Union St. Gilloise host Cercle Brugge on Sunday, 25 October 2026 in the Pro League, and the model has Union St. Gilloise at 74%, the draw at 16% and Cercle Brugge at 10%: that is the Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge prediction in one line.
Expected goals are 2.53 for Union St. Gilloise and 0.83 for Cercle Brugge, a total of 3.36, which puts over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams to score at 52%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Union St. Gilloise to win is the main selection, rated 74%. Stake offer the top price at 1.34. That price implies 75%, 0 points over the model figure.
Union St. Gilloise or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 90% chance, priced 1.08.
With the draw down at 16%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.
Union St. Gilloise average 3.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded across their last 5, Cercle Brugge 1.8 and 2.4 across 5.
Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
On the goal lines Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge reads 85% for over 1.5, 65% for over 2.5 and 43% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 36%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 65%, best priced 1.53 at Betwinner.
Both teams to score is 52%: Union St. Gilloise find the net in 92% of simulated matches and Cercle Brugge in 56%. Union St. Gilloise keep a clean sheet 44% of the time and Cercle Brugge 8%.
The most likely scoreline is 2-0 at 11.1%, followed by 3-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (9.2%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.1% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Union St. Gilloise, full-time Union St. Gilloise leads at 51%. A goal before the break is rated 78%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Union St. Gilloise to win74%1.34
Draw16%5.65
Cercle Brugge to win10%9.30
Union St. Gilloise, draw no bet88%fair 1.14
Cercle Brugge, draw no bet12%fair 8.20
Double chance
Union St. Gilloise or draw90%1.08
Cercle Brugge or draw26%3.48
Union St. Gilloise or Cercle Brugge (no draw)85%1.16
Goals
Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals85%fair 1.18
Over 2.5 goals65%1.53
Over 3.5 goals43%fair 2.31
Over 4.5 goals25%fair 4.03
Under 1.5 goals15%fair 6.58
Under 2.5 goals36%2.54
Under 3.5 goals57%fair 1.76
BTTS
Both teams to score52%1.83
Not both teams to score48%1.98
Halves
First-half goal78%fair 1.28
Over 1.5 first-half goals45%fair 2.24
Second-half goal84%fair 1.19
Team goals
Union St. Gilloise to score92%fair 1.09
Cercle Brugge to score56%fair 1.77
Union St. Gilloise clean sheet44%fair 2.29
Cercle Brugge clean sheet8%fair 12.50
Union St. Gilloise to win to nil40%fair 2.49
Cercle Brugge to win to nil7%fair 13.70
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
2-011.1%
3-09.4%
2-19.2%
1-08.8%
3-17.8%
1-17.3%
Half-time / full-time
Union St. Gilloise / Union St. Gilloise51.2%
Draw / Union St. Gilloise19.6%
Draw / Draw8.9%
Cercle Brugge / Cercle Brugge5.4%
Draw / Cercle Brugge3.9%
Questions about Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge
Who is favourite in Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge?
The model gives Union St. Gilloise the best chance at 74%, with the draw at 16%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What scoreline is most likely in Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge?
2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 11.1%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 65%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge?
The BTTS yes line is rated 52%. Union St. Gilloise find the net in 92% of simulated matches and Cercle Brugge in 56%.
What time does Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge kick off?
Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge starts at 18:15 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.