Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg prediction

Our Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg prediction and pick

Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg prediction for the Europa League on Thursday, 22 October 2026: the model makes Red Bull Salzburg the clear favourite at 63%, with the draw at 21% and Celje at 16%.

Celje are expected to score 0.99 and Red Bull Salzburg 2.14, so the total line is 3.13 goals; over 2.5 lands at 60% and BTTS at 56%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

The pick for Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg is red Bull Salzburg to win, a 63% chance. At 1.56 with 1xBet the market prices it at 64%, against 63% from the model.

Red Bull Salzburg or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 84% chance, priced 1.16.

With the draw down at 21%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Celje average 1.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded across their last 5, Red Bull Salzburg 3.2 and 1.2 across 5.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg

On the goal lines Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg reads 82% for over 1.5, 60% for over 2.5 and 38% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 40%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 60%, best priced 1.63 at 1xBet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 56%, built from Celje scoring in 63% of runs and Red Bull Salzburg in 88%; clean sheets come at 12% for Celje and 37% for Red Bull Salzburg.

Correct score: 0-2 leads at 10%, then 1-2 at 9.9% and 0-1 at 9.4%.

Even the leading scoreline holds only 10% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Red Bull Salzburg, full-time Red Bull Salzburg leads at 42%. A goal before the break is rated 76%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.