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Live 20 UTC
Austria Bundesliga Round 11 Sunday, 1 November 2026 FT
Red Bull SalzburgHomeWDWWW
5:1Half-time 3:0
Austria LustenauAwayLLLWL
8695
Red Bull Salzburg winDrawAustria Lustenau win
Kick-off
Sun 1 Nov
Expected goals
4.60
3.74 : 0.86
Favourite
86%
Red Bull Salzburg
Over 2.5 goals
80%
model chance
Both teams to score
55%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

Best odds for Red Bull Salzburg vs Austria Lustenau

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.128.5015.001.164.051.662.09Bet
22Bet1.148.5016.001.244.001.772.03Bet
BC.Game1.148.2015.001.233.751.731.98Bet
Betwinner1.148.5016.00--1.772.03Bet
Melbet1.148.5016.00--1.772.03Bet
Stake1.149.0015.00--1.761.95Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Red Bull Salzburg to win partner prices

Melbet pay the best Red Bull Salzburg price at 1.14, Stake lead the draw at 9.00 and Melbet have Austria Lustenau longest at 16.00.

The best-price payout across the three results is 95.4%, several points better than any single book offers here.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.24 (22Bet) and under 2.5 4.05 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.77 (Melbet) and no 2.09 (1xBet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

86%

Our prediction

Red Bull Salzburg to win
BankerWonExpected goals 3.74 : 0.86-2.2% against the best price
Double chanceRed Bull Salzburg or draw
95% chance1.01Won
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
80% chance1.24Won
BTTSBoth teams to score
55% chance1.77Won
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
94% chance1.07fairWon
ScorelineCorrect score 3-0
9% chance11.36fairLost
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Red Bull Salzburg, full-time Red Bull Salzburg
67% chance1.50fairWon

Red Bull Salzburg vs Austria Lustenau odds movement

Red Bull Salzburg win1.14-0.03
Draw9.00-0.89
Austria Lustenau win16.00-1.00
Over 2.5 goals1.24-0.01
Under 2.5 goals4.05-0.52

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 23:59 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

Red Bull Salzburg vs Austria Lustenau prediction

Red Bull Salzburg vs Austria Lustenau prediction and best bet

Red Bull Salzburg vs Austria Lustenau prediction for the Austria Bundesliga on Sunday, 1 November 2026: the model makes Red Bull Salzburg a strong favourite at 86%, with the draw at 9% and Austria Lustenau at 6%.

Expected goals are 3.74 for Red Bull Salzburg and 0.86 for Austria Lustenau, a total of 4.60, which puts over 2.5 goals at 80% and both teams to score at 55%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Our main pick is red Bull Salzburg to win at 86%. At 1.14 with Melbet the market prices it at 87%, against 86% from the model.

Red Bull Salzburg or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 95% chance, priced 1.01.

With the draw down at 9%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Over the last 5 matches Red Bull Salzburg stand at 4 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats; Austria Lustenau show 1 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats in 5.

Red Bull Salzburg vs Austria Lustenau over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

On the goal lines Red Bull Salzburg vs Austria Lustenau reads 94% for over 1.5, 80% for over 2.5 and 67% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 20%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 80%, best priced 1.24 at 22Bet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 55%, built from Red Bull Salzburg scoring in 98% of runs and Austria Lustenau in 58%; clean sheets come at 42% for Red Bull Salzburg and 2% for Austria Lustenau.

Correct score: 3-0 leads at 8.8%, then 4-0 at 8.2% and 3-1 at 7.5%.

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Red Bull Salzburg, full-time Red Bull Salzburg leads at 67%. A goal before the break is rated 87%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for Red Bull Salzburg vs Austria Lustenau

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Red Bull Salzburg vs Austria Lustenau, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Red Bull Salzburg to win86%1.14
Draw9%9.00
Austria Lustenau to win6%16.00
Red Bull Salzburg, draw no bet94%fair 1.06
Austria Lustenau, draw no bet6%fair 16.67

Double chance

Red Bull Salzburg or draw95%1.01
Austria Lustenau or draw15%5.63
Red Bull Salzburg or Austria Lustenau (no draw)91%1.07

Goals

Over 0.5 goals99%fair 1.02
Over 1.5 goals94%fair 1.07
Over 2.5 goals80%1.24
Over 3.5 goals67%fair 1.49
Over 4.5 goals48%fair 2.07
Under 1.5 goals6%fair 16.13
Under 2.5 goals20%4.05
Under 3.5 goals33%fair 3.02

BTTS

Both teams to score55%1.77
Not both teams to score45%2.09

Halves

First-half goal87%fair 1.14
Over 1.5 first-half goals61%fair 1.63
Second-half goal92%fair 1.09

Team goals

Red Bull Salzburg to score98%fair 1.02
Austria Lustenau to score58%fair 1.73
Red Bull Salzburg clean sheet42%fair 2.36
Austria Lustenau clean sheet2%fair 41.67
Red Bull Salzburg to win to nil39%fair 2.57
Austria Lustenau to win to nil2%fair 45.45

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

3-08.8%
4-08.2%
3-17.5%
4-17%
2-07%
5-06.1%

Half-time / full-time

Red Bull Salzburg / Red Bull Salzburg66.7%
Draw / Red Bull Salzburg16.6%
Draw / Draw4%
Austria Lustenau / Red Bull Salzburg3.5%
Austria Lustenau / Austria Lustenau2.4%

Questions about Red Bull Salzburg vs Austria Lustenau

Red Bull Salzburg or Austria Lustenau: which side does the model back?

The model gives Red Bull Salzburg the best chance at 86%, with the draw at 9%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

What scoreline is most likely in Red Bull Salzburg vs Austria Lustenau?

3-0 is the most likely scoreline at 8.8%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 80% backs the same picture with less variance.

Red Bull Salzburg vs Austria Lustenau both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 55%. Red Bull Salzburg find the net in 98% of simulated matches and Austria Lustenau in 58%.

When do Red Bull Salzburg play Austria Lustenau?

Red Bull Salzburg vs Austria Lustenau starts at 13:30 UTC on Sunday, 1 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Red Bull Salzburg v Austria LustenauRed Bull Salzburg to win, 86%
1.14Bet