AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus prediction

AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus prediction and best bet

The AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus prediction leans to Juventus: 50% against 26% for AZ Alkmaar, with 25% left for the draw, in the Europa League on Thursday, 5 November 2026.

Expected goals are 1.16 for AZ Alkmaar and 1.70 for Juventus, a total of 2.86, which puts over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 57%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

The pick for AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus is aZ Alkmaar or Juventus (no draw), a 75% chance. At 1.30 with Melbet the market prices it at 77%, against 75% from the model.

Over the last 5 matches AZ Alkmaar stand at 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Juventus show 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats in 5.

AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

Under 2.5 goals is rated 46% and under 3.5 68%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 78% and over 2.5 at 54%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 54%, best priced 1.81 at Melbet.

Both teams to score is 57%: AZ Alkmaar find the net in 69% of simulated matches and Juventus in 82%. AZ Alkmaar keep a clean sheet 18% of the time and Juventus 31%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.3%, followed by 0-1 (9.7%) and 1-2 (9.6%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Juventus, full-time Juventus leads at 31%. A goal before the break is rated 72%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.