Ferencvarosi TC vs MTK Budapest prediction

Ferencvarosi TC vs MTK Budapest prediction, who wins and at what price

Ferencvarosi TC vs MTK Budapest prediction for the NB I on Sunday, 25 October 2026: the model makes Ferencvarosi TC the clear favourite at 67%, with the draw at 18% and MTK Budapest at 15%.

The goal expectancy is 3.54 in total, split 2.45 to Ferencvarosi TC and 1.09 to MTK Budapest. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 68% and both teams to score 61%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

The pick for Ferencvarosi TC vs MTK Budapest is ferencvarosi TC to win, a 67% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.38 at 1xBet, which implies 72%, so the model sits 5 points below the market.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Ferencvarosi TC vs MTK Budapest.

For a safer line, ferencvarosi TC or draw covers 85% of outcomes at 1.06.

The draw sits at only 18%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Ferencvarosi TC average 3.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded across their last 5, MTK Budapest 1.2 and 2.4 across 5.

Goals forecast for Ferencvarosi TC vs MTK Budapest with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Under 2.5 goals is rated 32% and under 3.5 53%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 87% and over 2.5 at 68%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 68%; 1xBet pay 1.35.

Both teams to score is 61%: Ferencvarosi TC find the net in 91% of simulated matches and MTK Budapest in 66%. Ferencvarosi TC keep a clean sheet 34% of the time and MTK Budapest 9%.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 61%.

The most likely scoreline is 2-1 at 9.5%, followed by 2-0 (8.7%) and 3-1 (7.8%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Ferencvarosi TC, full-time Ferencvarosi TC leads at 45%. A goal before the break is rated 80%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.