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Live 18 UTC
Conference League Matchday 3 Thursday, 5 November 2026 Kick-off
PanathinaikosHomeWWWWW
Thu 5 Nov
CSKA SofiaAwayLWDWD
622216
Panathinaikos winDrawCSKA Sofia win
Kick-off
Thu 5 Nov
Expected goals
3.00
2.03 : 0.97
Favourite
62%
Panathinaikos
Over 2.5 goals
57%
model chance
Both teams to score
54%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

Best odds for Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.574.405.851.702.221.732.00Bet
22Bet1.544.325.751.682.191.732.00Bet
BC.Game1.524.205.601.642.161.701.98Bet
Betwinner1.544.325.751.682.191.732.00Bet
Melbet1.544.325.751.682.191.732.00Bet
Stake1.524.405.401.602.201.721.97Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Panathinaikos to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia prediction: Panathinaikos 1.57 (1xBet), draw 4.40 (Stake), CSKA Sofia 5.85 (1xBet).

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 96.6%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.70 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.22 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.73 (22Bet) and no 2.00 (1xBet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

62%

Our prediction

Panathinaikos to win
StrongExpected goals 2.03 : 0.97-3.3% against the best price
Double chancePanathinaikos or draw
83% chance1.16
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
57% chance1.70
BTTSBoth teams to score
54% chance1.73
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
80% chance1.25fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
10% chance9.71fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Panathinaikos, full-time Panathinaikos
40% chance2.49fair

Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia prediction

Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia prediction, who wins and at what price

Panathinaikos host CSKA Sofia on Thursday, 5 November 2026 in the Conference League, and the model has Panathinaikos at 62%, the draw at 22% and CSKA Sofia at 17%: that is the Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia prediction in one line.

Panathinaikos are expected to score 2.03 and CSKA Sofia 0.97, so the total line is 3.00 goals; over 2.5 lands at 57% and BTTS at 54%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

The pick for Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia is panathinaikos to win, a 62% chance. At 1.57 with 1xBet the market prices it at 64%, against 62% from the model.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Panathinaikos or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 83% chance, priced 1.16.

With the draw down at 22%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Form check: Panathinaikos have won 5 of their last 5 with 15 scored and 3 conceded, CSKA Sofia 2 of 5 scoring 7 and conceding 4.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 80%, over 2.5 at 57%, over 3.5 at 35%; under 2.5 is 43% and under 3.5 is 65%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 57%, best priced 1.70 at 1xBet.

Both teams to score is 54%: Panathinaikos find the net in 87% of simulated matches and CSKA Sofia in 62%. Panathinaikos keep a clean sheet 38% of the time and CSKA Sofia 13%.

The most likely scoreline is 2-0 at 10.3%, followed by 1-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (10%).

With the top scoreline at 10.3%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Panathinaikos, full-time Panathinaikos leads at 40%. A goal before the break is rated 74%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 62% / 22% / 17% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Panathinaikos to win62%1.57
Draw22%4.40
CSKA Sofia to win17%5.85
Panathinaikos, draw no bet79%fair 1.27
CSKA Sofia, draw no bet22%fair 4.65

Double chance

Panathinaikos or draw83%1.16
CSKA Sofia or draw39%2.51
Panathinaikos or CSKA Sofia (no draw)79%1.24

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals80%fair 1.25
Over 2.5 goals57%1.70
Over 3.5 goals35%fair 2.83
Over 4.5 goals19%fair 5.41
Under 1.5 goals20%fair 5.03
Under 2.5 goals43%2.22
Under 3.5 goals65%fair 1.55

BTTS

Both teams to score54%1.73
Not both teams to score46%2.00

Halves

First-half goal74%fair 1.35
Over 1.5 first-half goals39%fair 2.56
Second-half goal81%fair 1.24

Team goals

Panathinaikos to score87%fair 1.15
CSKA Sofia to score62%fair 1.61
Panathinaikos clean sheet38%fair 2.64
CSKA Sofia clean sheet13%fair 7.63
Panathinaikos to win to nil35%fair 2.87
CSKA Sofia to win to nil12%fair 8.26

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

2-010.3%
1-010.1%
2-110%
1-19.8%
3-06.9%
3-16.7%

Half-time / full-time

Panathinaikos / Panathinaikos40.1%
Draw / Panathinaikos18.6%
Draw / Draw12.1%
CSKA Sofia / CSKA Sofia9.5%
Draw / CSKA Sofia6.6%

Questions about Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia

Who will win Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia?

The model gives Panathinaikos the best chance at 62%, with the draw at 22%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

What scoreline is most likely in Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia?

2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 10.3%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 57%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 54%. Panathinaikos find the net in 87% of simulated matches and CSKA Sofia in 62%.

When is Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia and where is the result shown?

Kick-off is 20:00 UTC on Thursday, 5 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Panathinaikos v CSKA SofiaPanathinaikos to win, 62%
1.57Bet