Conference League
Matchday 3 Thursday, 5 November 2026
Kick-off
KuPSHomeWLDDL
Thu 5 Nov
GentAwayWDLWL202357
KuPS winDrawGent win
Conference League
Matchday 3 Thursday, 5 November 2026
Kick-off
KuPSHomeWLDDLGentAwayWDLWL- Kick-off Thu 5 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.67 0.91 : 1.76
- Favourite
- 58% Gent
- Over 2.5 goals
- 49% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 50% model chance
- Prices compared
- 2 in the odds table
Best odds for KuPS vs Gent
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 5.08 | 3.98 | 1.70 | 1.95 | 1.91 | 1.85 | 1.85 | Bet |
 22Bet | 5.00 | 3.90 | 1.68 | 1.92 | 1.88 | 1.85 | 1.85 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Gent to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for KuPS vs Gent are 5.08 for KuPS at 1xBet, 3.98 for the draw at 1xBet and 1.70 for Gent at 1xBet.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 96.5%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.95 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.91 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.85 (22Bet) and no 1.85 (22Bet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
58%
Our prediction
Gent to win
Double chanceGent or draw
81% chance1.19
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
51% chance1.91
BTTSBoth teams to score
50% chance1.85
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
75% chance1.34fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-1
12% chance8.20fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Gent, full-time Gent
36% chance2.77fair
KuPS vs Gent prediction
KuPS vs Gent prediction and best bet
KuPS host Gent on Thursday, 5 November 2026 in the Conference League, and the model has Gent at 58%, the draw at 23% and KuPS at 20%: that is the KuPS vs Gent prediction in one line.
Expected goals are 0.91 for KuPS and 1.76 for Gent, a total of 2.67, which puts over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 50%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is gent to win at 58%. At 1.70 with 1xBet the market prices it at 59%, against 58% from the model.
Gent or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 81% chance, priced 1.19.
KuPS average 1.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded across their last 5, Gent 1.6 and 1.4 across 5.
How many goals in KuPS vs Gent? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
On the goal lines KuPS vs Gent reads 75% for over 1.5, 49% for over 2.5 and 28% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 51%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 51%, best priced 1.91 at 1xBet.
BTTS yes stands at 50%. KuPS score in 60% of simulations against a 40% clean sheet for Gent; Gent score in 83% while KuPS shut them out 17% of the time.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for KuPS vs Gent: 0-1 (12.2%), 1-1 (11.1%) and 0-2 (10.7%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Gent, full-time Gent leads at 36%. A goal before the break is rated 70%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, KuPS vs Gent
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 20% / 23% / 58% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
KuPS to win20%5.08
Draw23%3.98
Gent to win58%1.70
KuPS, draw no bet25%fair 3.97
Gent, draw no bet75%fair 1.34
Double chance
KuPS or draw42%2.23
Gent or draw81%1.19
KuPS or Gent (no draw)77%1.27
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals75%fair 1.34
Over 2.5 goals49%1.95
Over 3.5 goals28%fair 3.58
Over 4.5 goals13%fair 7.52
Under 1.5 goals25%fair 3.94
Under 2.5 goals51%1.91
Under 3.5 goals72%fair 1.39
BTTS
Both teams to score50%1.85
Not both teams to score50%1.85
Halves
First-half goal70%fair 1.43
Over 1.5 first-half goals34%fair 2.96
Second-half goal77%fair 1.30
Team goals
KuPS to score60%fair 1.68
Gent to score83%fair 1.21
KuPS clean sheet17%fair 5.81
Gent clean sheet40%fair 2.48
KuPS to win to nil16%fair 6.33
Gent to win to nil37%fair 2.70
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
0-112.2%
1-111.1%
0-210.7%
1-29.8%
0-06.9%
1-06.3%
Half-time / full-time
Gent / Gent36.1%
Draw / Gent18.6%
Draw / Draw14.5%
KuPS / KuPS10.5%
Draw / KuPS7.5%
Questions about KuPS vs Gent
KuPS or Gent: which side does the model back?
The model gives Gent the best chance at 58%, with the draw at 23%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What is the correct score prediction for KuPS vs Gent?
0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.2%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 49%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
KuPS vs Gent both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 50%. KuPS find the net in 60% of simulated matches and Gent in 83%.
What time does KuPS vs Gent kick off?
Kick-off is 17:45 UTC on Thursday, 5 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.