FC NordsjaellandHomeDDDWL
CSKA SofiaAwayLWDWD
FC NordsjaellandHomeDDDWL
CSKA SofiaAwayLWDWD| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.45 | 4.96 | 6.94 | 1.53 | 2.44 | 1.67 | 2.08 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
The top 1X2 prices for FC Nordsjaelland vs CSKA Sofia are 1.45 for FC Nordsjaelland at 1xBet, 4.96 for the draw at 1xBet and 6.94 for CSKA Sofia at 1xBet.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 96.6%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.53 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.44 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.67 (1xBet) and no 2.08 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
Our prediction
FC Nordsjaelland vs CSKA Sofia prediction for the Conference League on Thursday, 22 October 2026: the model makes FC Nordsjaelland the clear favourite at 68%, with the draw at 19% and CSKA Sofia at 14%.
Expected goals are 2.30 for FC Nordsjaelland and 0.94 for CSKA Sofia, a total of 3.24, which puts over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score at 56%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
The pick for FC Nordsjaelland vs CSKA Sofia is fC Nordsjaelland to win, a 68% chance. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.45. That price implies 69%, 1 points over the model figure.
FC Nordsjaelland or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 86% chance, priced 1.12.
The draw sits at only 19%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
FC Nordsjaelland average 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded across their last 5, CSKA Sofia 1.4 and 0.8 across 5.
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 83%, over 2.5 at 62%, over 3.5 at 41%; under 2.5 is 38% and under 3.5 is 59%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 62%; 1xBet pay 1.53.
Both teams to score is 56%: FC Nordsjaelland find the net in 90% of simulated matches and CSKA Sofia in 61%. FC Nordsjaelland keep a clean sheet 39% of the time and CSKA Sofia 10%.
Correct score: 2-0 leads at 10.4%, then 2-1 at 9.7% and 1-0 at 9%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 10.4% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time FC Nordsjaelland, full-time FC Nordsjaelland leads at 45%. A goal before the break is rated 77%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 68% / 19% / 14% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Double chance
Goals
BTTS
Halves
Team goals
Odd or even
Most likely scores
Half-time / full-time
The model gives FC Nordsjaelland the best chance at 68%, with the draw at 19%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 10.4%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 62% backs the same picture with less variance.
The BTTS yes line is rated 56%. FC Nordsjaelland find the net in 90% of simulated matches and CSKA Sofia in 61%.
Kick-off is 16:45 UTC on Thursday, 22 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.