Panathinaikos vs Aris Thessalonikis prediction

Our Panathinaikos vs Aris Thessalonikis prediction and pick

Panathinaikos are a narrow favourite in the Panathinaikos vs Aris Thessalonikis prediction, rated 60% to win this Greece Cup match on Wednesday, 28 October 2026. Aris Thessalonikis sit at 16% and the draw at 24%.

Panathinaikos are expected to score 1.77 and Aris Thessalonikis 0.81, so the total line is 2.58 goals; over 2.5 lands at 48% and BTTS at 46%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Panathinaikos to win is the main selection, rated 60%. The best price in our comparison is 1.58 at 1xBet, which implies 63%, so the model sits 4 points below the market.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

For a safer line, panathinaikos or draw covers 84% of outcomes at 1.09.

Panathinaikos average 3.0 goals scored and 0.6 conceded across their last 5, Aris Thessalonikis 1.8 and 1.8 across 5.

Panathinaikos vs Aris Thessalonikis goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

Under 2.5 goals is rated 52% and under 3.5 74%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 73% and over 2.5 at 48%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 52%, best priced 1.89 at BC.Game.

BTTS yes stands at 46%. Panathinaikos score in 83% of simulations against a 17% clean sheet for Aris Thessalonikis; Aris Thessalonikis score in 56% while Panathinaikos shut them out 45% of the time.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Panathinaikos vs Aris Thessalonikis: 1-0 (13.4%), 2-0 (11.9%) and 1-1 (10.9%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 13.4% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Panathinaikos, full-time Panathinaikos is the top combination at 38%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 69%.