Super League 1
PanathinaikosHomeWWWWW
5:1Half-time 2:0
Asteras TripolisAwayWLDLL82126
Panathinaikos winDrawAsteras Tripolis win
PanathinaikosHomeWWWWWAsteras TripolisAwayWLDLL- Kick-off Sun 18 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.29 2.71 : 0.58
- Favourite
- 82% Panathinaikos
- Over 2.5 goals
- 63% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 42% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.21 | 6.10 | 12.70 | 1.56 | 2.33 | 2.16 | 1.62 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Panathinaikos to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis prediction: Panathinaikos 1.21 (1xBet), draw 6.10 (1xBet), Asteras Tripolis 12.70 (1xBet).
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 93.5%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.56 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.33 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.16 (1xBet) and no 1.62 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
82%
Our prediction
Panathinaikos to win
Double chancePanathinaikos or draw
94% chance1.01
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
63% chance1.56
BTTSNot both teams to score
58% chance1.62
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
84% chance1.19fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
14% chance7.30fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Panathinaikos, full-time Panathinaikos
59% chance1.70fair
Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis prediction
Our Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis prediction and pick
Panathinaikos host Asteras Tripolis on Sunday, 18 October 2026 in the Super League 1, and the model has Panathinaikos at 82%, the draw at 12% and Asteras Tripolis at 6%: that is the Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis prediction in one line.
Panathinaikos are expected to score 2.71 and Asteras Tripolis 0.58, so the total line is 3.29 goals; over 2.5 lands at 63% and BTTS at 42%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis is panathinaikos to win, a 82% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.21 at 1xBet, which implies 83%, so the model sits 1 points below the market.
Panathinaikos or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 94% chance, priced 1.01.
With the draw down at 12%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.
Panathinaikos average 3.0 goals scored and 0.6 conceded across their last 5, Asteras Tripolis 0.8 and 2.0 across 5.
Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
On the goal lines Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis reads 84% for over 1.5, 63% for over 2.5 and 42% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 37%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 63%, best priced 1.56 at 1xBet.
Both teams to score is 42%: Panathinaikos find the net in 93% of simulated matches and Asteras Tripolis in 44%. Panathinaikos keep a clean sheet 56% of the time and Asteras Tripolis 7%.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 58%.
Correct score: 2-0 leads at 13.7%, then 3-0 at 12.4% and 1-0 at 10.1%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 13.7% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Panathinaikos, full-time Panathinaikos is the top combination at 59%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 77%.
Every market for Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Panathinaikos to win82%1.21
Draw12%6.10
Asteras Tripolis to win6%12.70
Panathinaikos, draw no bet94%fair 1.07
Asteras Tripolis, draw no bet7%fair 15.38
Double chance
Panathinaikos or draw94%1.01
Asteras Tripolis or draw18%4.12
Panathinaikos or Asteras Tripolis (no draw)88%1.10
Goals
Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals84%fair 1.19
Over 2.5 goals63%1.56
Over 3.5 goals42%fair 2.40
Over 4.5 goals24%fair 4.26
Under 1.5 goals16%fair 6.25
Under 2.5 goals37%2.33
Under 3.5 goals58%fair 1.72
BTTS
Both teams to score42%2.16
Not both teams to score58%1.62
Halves
First-half goal77%fair 1.30
Over 1.5 first-half goals44%fair 2.29
Second-half goal84%fair 1.20
Team goals
Panathinaikos to score93%fair 1.07
Asteras Tripolis to score44%fair 2.27
Panathinaikos clean sheet56%fair 1.79
Asteras Tripolis clean sheet7%fair 14.93
Panathinaikos to win to nil52%fair 1.94
Asteras Tripolis to win to nil5%fair 19.23
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
2-013.7%
3-012.4%
1-010.1%
4-08.4%
2-17.9%
3-17.2%
Half-time / full-time
Panathinaikos / Panathinaikos58.8%
Draw / Panathinaikos20.5%
Draw / Draw7.7%
Asteras Tripolis / Asteras Tripolis2.9%
Asteras Tripolis / Panathinaikos2.7%
Questions about Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis
Who will win Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis?
The model gives Panathinaikos the best chance at 82%, with the draw at 12%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis correct score: what does the model say?
2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 13.7%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 63%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis?
The BTTS yes line is rated 42%. Panathinaikos find the net in 93% of simulated matches and Asteras Tripolis in 44%.
What time does Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis kick off?
Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis starts at 14:30 UTC on Sunday, 18 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.