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Live 1 UTC
Conference League Matchday 3 Thursday, 5 November 2026 Kick-off
AarhusHomeDDWWL
Thu 5 Nov
SC BragaAwayLLWLW
262945
Aarhus winDrawSC Braga win
Kick-off
Thu 5 Nov
Expected goals
2.59
1.09 : 1.50
Favourite
45%
SC Braga
Over 2.5 goals
47%
model chance
Both teams to score
53%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

Aarhus vs SC Braga odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet3.653.402.142.001.861.751.97Bet
22Bet3.583.342.101.981.831.751.97Bet
BC.Game3.603.302.021.941.791.721.96Bet
Betwinner3.583.342.101.981.831.751.97Bet
Melbet3.583.342.101.981.831.751.97Bet
Stake3.703.401.971.881.821.761.92Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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SC Braga to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for Aarhus vs SC Braga are 3.70 for Aarhus at Stake, 3.40 for the draw at Stake and 2.14 for SC Braga at 1xBet.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 96.9%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.00 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.86 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.76 (Stake) and no 1.97 (1xBet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

74%

Our prediction

SC Braga or draw
LeanExpected goals 1.09 : 1.50-2.8% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
53% chance1.86
BTTSBoth teams to score
53% chance1.76
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
73% chance1.37fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.13fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time SC Braga, full-time SC Braga
28% chance3.56fair
First halfFirst-half goal
69% chance1.45fair

Aarhus vs SC Braga prediction

Aarhus vs SC Braga prediction and best bet

Aarhus host SC Braga on Thursday, 5 November 2026 in the Conference League, and the model has SC Braga at 45%, the draw at 29% and Aarhus at 26%: that is the Aarhus vs SC Braga prediction in one line.

The goal expectancy is 2.59 in total, split 1.09 to Aarhus and 1.50 to SC Braga. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 47% and both teams to score 53%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

SC Braga or draw is the main selection, rated 74%. At 1.31 with 1xBet the market prices it at 76%, against 74% from the model.

Aarhus average 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded across their last 5, SC Braga 1.2 and 1.2 across 5.

How many goals in Aarhus vs SC Braga? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

On the goal lines Aarhus vs SC Braga reads 73% for over 1.5, 47% for over 2.5 and 26% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 53%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 53%, best priced 1.86 at 1xBet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 53%, built from Aarhus scoring in 66% of runs and SC Braga in 78%; clean sheets come at 22% for Aarhus and 34% for SC Braga.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.3%, followed by 0-1 (11.3%) and 1-2 (9.2%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time SC Braga, full-time SC Braga is the top combination at 28%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 69%.

All markets, Aarhus vs SC Braga

The grid built from 1.09 and 1.50 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Aarhus to win26%3.70
Draw29%3.40
SC Braga to win45%2.14
Aarhus, draw no bet36%fair 2.76
SC Braga, draw no bet64%fair 1.57

Double chance

Aarhus or draw55%1.77
SC Braga or draw74%1.31
Aarhus or SC Braga (no draw)71%1.35

Goals

Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals73%fair 1.37
Over 2.5 goals47%2.00
Over 3.5 goals26%fair 3.82
Over 4.5 goals12%fair 8.26
Under 1.5 goals27%fair 3.72
Under 2.5 goals53%1.86
Under 3.5 goals74%fair 1.36

BTTS

Both teams to score53%1.76
Not both teams to score47%1.97

Halves

First-half goal69%fair 1.45
Over 1.5 first-half goals33%fair 3.08
Second-half goal76%fair 1.32

Team goals

Aarhus to score66%fair 1.51
SC Braga to score78%fair 1.29
Aarhus clean sheet22%fair 4.48
SC Braga clean sheet34%fair 2.98
Aarhus to win to nil21%fair 4.88
SC Braga to win to nil31%fair 3.24

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-112.3%
0-111.3%
1-29.2%
0-28.4%
1-08.2%
0-07.5%

Half-time / full-time

SC Braga / SC Braga28.1%
Draw / SC Braga16.1%
Draw / Draw15.9%
Aarhus / Aarhus15.5%
Draw / Aarhus10.4%

Questions about Aarhus vs SC Braga

Who will win Aarhus vs SC Braga?

The model gives SC Braga the best chance at 45%, with the draw at 29%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

Aarhus vs SC Braga correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.3%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 47%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Is BTTS likely in Aarhus vs SC Braga?

The BTTS yes line is rated 53%. Aarhus find the net in 66% of simulated matches and SC Braga in 78%.

What time does Aarhus vs SC Braga kick off?

Aarhus vs SC Braga starts at 17:45 UTC on Thursday, 5 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Aarhus v SC BragaSC Braga or draw, 74%
1.31Bet