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Live 16 UTC
Conference League Matchday 3 Thursday, 5 November 2026 Kick-off
AtalantaHomeWLLDD
Thu 5 Nov
Kairat AlmatyAwayDWLDD
84115
Atalanta winDrawKairat Almaty win
Kick-off
Thu 5 Nov
Expected goals
3.72
3.04 : 0.68
Favourite
84%
Atalanta
Over 2.5 goals
70%
model chance
Both teams to score
47%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

Best odds for Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.178.4016.501.392.921.951.76Bet
22Bet1.158.2016.001.392.921.951.76Bet
BC.Game1.167.0014.001.392.801.971.71Bet
Betwinner1.158.2016.001.392.921.951.76Bet
Melbet1.158.2016.001.392.921.951.76Bet
Stake1.167.4014.00--2.031.68Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Atalanta to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty prediction: Atalanta 1.17 (1xBet), draw 8.40 (1xBet), Kairat Almaty 16.50 (1xBet).

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 96.7%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.39 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 2.92 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 2.03 (Stake) and no 1.76 (22Bet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

84%

Our prediction

Atalanta to win
BankerExpected goals 3.04 : 0.68-2.1% against the best price
Double chanceAtalanta or draw
95% chance1.03
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
70% chance1.39
BTTSNot both teams to score
53% chance1.76
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
88% chance1.13fair
ScorelineCorrect score 3-0
11% chance8.85fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Atalanta, full-time Atalanta
62% chance1.63fair

Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty prediction

Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty prediction, who wins and at what price

Atalanta are a strong favourite in the Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty prediction, rated 84% to win this Conference League match on Thursday, 5 November 2026. Kairat Almaty sit at 6% and the draw at 11%.

The goal expectancy is 3.72 in total, split 3.04 to Atalanta and 0.68 to Kairat Almaty. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 70% and both teams to score 47%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Our main pick is atalanta to win at 84%. The best price in our comparison is 1.17 at 1xBet, which implies 85%, so the model sits 2 points below the market.

For a safer line, atalanta or draw covers 95% of outcomes at 1.03.

With the draw down at 11%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Over the last 5 matches Atalanta stand at 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Kairat Almaty show 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats in 5.

Goals forecast for Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 88%, over 2.5 at 70%, over 3.5 at 51%; under 2.5 is 30% and under 3.5 is 49%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 70%, best priced 1.39 at BC.Game.

BTTS yes stands at 47%. Atalanta score in 95% of simulations against a 5% clean sheet for Kairat Almaty; Kairat Almaty score in 49% while Atalanta shut them out 51% of the time.

Correct score: 3-0 leads at 11.3%, then 2-0 at 11.2% and 4-0 at 8.6%.

Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.3% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Atalanta, full-time Atalanta is the top combination at 62%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 81%.

All markets, Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 84% / 11% / 6% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Atalanta to win84%1.17
Draw11%8.40
Kairat Almaty to win6%16.50
Atalanta, draw no bet94%fair 1.07
Kairat Almaty, draw no bet6%fair 16.13

Double chance

Atalanta or draw95%1.03
Kairat Almaty or draw16%5.57
Atalanta or Kairat Almaty (no draw)89%1.09

Goals

Over 0.5 goals98%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals88%fair 1.13
Over 2.5 goals70%1.39
Over 3.5 goals51%fair 1.96
Over 4.5 goals32%fair 3.17
Under 1.5 goals12%fair 8.62
Under 2.5 goals30%2.92
Under 3.5 goals49%fair 2.04

BTTS

Both teams to score47%2.03
Not both teams to score53%1.76

Halves

First-half goal81%fair 1.23
Over 1.5 first-half goals50%fair 2.00
Second-half goal87%fair 1.15

Team goals

Atalanta to score95%fair 1.05
Kairat Almaty to score49%fair 2.03
Atalanta clean sheet51%fair 1.97
Kairat Almaty clean sheet5%fair 20.83
Atalanta to win to nil47%fair 2.15
Kairat Almaty to win to nil4%fair 22.73

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

3-011.3%
2-011.2%
4-08.6%
3-17.7%
2-17.6%
1-07.4%

Half-time / full-time

Atalanta / Atalanta61.5%
Draw / Atalanta19.1%
Draw / Draw6.1%
Kairat Almaty / Atalanta3%
Kairat Almaty / Kairat Almaty2.8%

Questions about Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty

Who will win Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty?

The model gives Atalanta the best chance at 84%, with the draw at 11%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

What scoreline is most likely in Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty?

3-0 is the most likely scoreline at 11.3%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 70%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Is BTTS likely in Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty?

The BTTS yes line is rated 47%. Atalanta find the net in 95% of simulated matches and Kairat Almaty in 49%.

When do Atalanta play Kairat Almaty?

Kick-off is 17:45 UTC on Thursday, 5 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Atalanta v Kairat AlmatyAtalanta to win, 84%
1.17Bet