Conference League
Matchday 3 Thursday, 5 November 2026
Kick-off
FC ThunHomeLDLLW
Thu 5 Nov
Heart Of MidlothianAwayLLWDL392635
FC Thun winDrawHeart Of Midlothian win
Conference League
Matchday 3 Thursday, 5 November 2026
Kick-off
FC ThunHomeLDLLWHeart Of MidlothianAwayLLWDL- Kick-off Thu 5 Nov
- Expected goals
- 3.22 1.66 : 1.56
- Favourite
- 39% FC Thun
- Over 2.5 goals
- 62% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 66% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Best odds for FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.49 | 3.73 | 2.73 | 1.54 | 2.42 | 1.43 | 2.63 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.45 | 3.66 | 2.69 | 1.54 | 2.42 | 1.43 | 2.63 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.38 | 3.55 | 2.70 | 1.51 | 2.42 | 1.42 | 2.60 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.45 | 3.66 | 2.69 | 1.54 | 2.42 | 1.43 | 2.63 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.45 | 3.66 | 2.69 | 1.54 | 2.42 | 1.43 | 2.63 | Bet |
 Stake | 2.31 | 3.60 | 2.80 | 1.50 | 2.41 | 1.45 | 2.50 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
FC Thun to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian prediction: FC Thun 2.49 (1xBet), draw 3.73 (1xBet), Heart Of Midlothian 2.80 (Stake).
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 97.4%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.54 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.42 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.45 (Stake) and no 2.63 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
74%
Our prediction
FC Thun or Heart Of Midlothian (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
62% chance1.54
BTTSBoth teams to score
66% chance1.45
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
83% chance1.20fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance9.71fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time FC Thun, full-time FC Thun
25% chance4.08fair
First halfFirst-half goal
77% chance1.31fair
FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian prediction
Our FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian prediction and pick
The FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. Conference League on Thursday, 5 November 2026 gives FC Thun a 39% chance, Heart Of Midlothian 34% and the draw 26%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.
FC Thun are expected to score 1.66 and Heart Of Midlothian 1.56, so the total line is 3.22 goals; over 2.5 lands at 62% and BTTS at 66%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian is fC Thun or Heart Of Midlothian (no draw), a 74% chance. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.30. That price implies 77%, 3 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian.
Over the last 5 matches FC Thun stand at 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Heart Of Midlothian show 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats in 5.
Goals forecast for FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 83%, over 2.5 at 62%, over 3.5 at 40%; under 2.5 is 38% and under 3.5 is 60%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 62%, best priced 1.54 at 1xBet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 66%, built from FC Thun scoring in 81% of runs and Heart Of Midlothian in 79%; clean sheets come at 21% for FC Thun and 19% for Heart Of Midlothian.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 66%.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 10.3%, then 2-1 at 8.6% and 1-2 at 8.1%.
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time FC Thun, full-time FC Thun is the top combination at 25%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 77%.
All markets, FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
FC Thun to win39%2.49
Draw26%3.73
Heart Of Midlothian to win34%2.80
FC Thun, draw no bet53%fair 1.88
Heart Of Midlothian, draw no bet47%fair 2.14
Double chance
FC Thun or draw66%1.49
Heart Of Midlothian or draw61%1.58
FC Thun or Heart Of Midlothian (no draw)74%1.30
Goals
Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals83%fair 1.20
Over 2.5 goals62%1.54
Over 3.5 goals40%fair 2.49
Over 4.5 goals22%fair 4.48
Under 1.5 goals17%fair 5.92
Under 2.5 goals38%2.42
Under 3.5 goals60%fair 1.67
BTTS
Both teams to score66%1.45
Not both teams to score34%2.63
Halves
First-half goal77%fair 1.31
Over 1.5 first-half goals43%fair 2.35
Second-half goal83%fair 1.20
Team goals
FC Thun to score81%fair 1.23
Heart Of Midlothian to score79%fair 1.27
FC Thun clean sheet21%fair 4.76
Heart Of Midlothian clean sheet19%fair 5.26
FC Thun to win to nil19%fair 5.18
Heart Of Midlothian to win to nil18%fair 5.71
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-110.3%
2-18.6%
1-28.1%
2-26.7%
1-06.6%
0-16.2%
Half-time / full-time
FC Thun / FC Thun24.5%
Heart Of Midlothian / Heart Of Midlothian21.6%
Draw / FC Thun13.1%
Draw / Draw12.4%
Draw / Heart Of Midlothian12%
Questions about FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian
FC Thun or Heart Of Midlothian: which side does the model back?
The model gives FC Thun the best chance at 39%, with the draw at 26%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What scoreline is most likely in FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.3%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 62% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian?
The BTTS yes line is rated 66%. FC Thun find the net in 81% of simulated matches and Heart Of Midlothian in 79%.
When is FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 17:45 UTC on Thursday, 5 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.