Lausanne vs FC Thun prediction

Lausanne vs FC Thun prediction, who wins and at what price

Nothing separates the sides in the Lausanne vs FC Thun prediction for Sunday, 1 November 2026: 38% home, 26% draw and 36% away in the Super League. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.

Lausanne are expected to score 1.62 and FC Thun 1.55, so the total line is 3.17 goals; over 2.5 lands at 61% and BTTS at 65%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

The pick for Lausanne vs FC Thun is lausanne or FC Thun (no draw), a 74% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.28 at Betwinner, which implies 78%, so the model sits 4 points below the market.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Lausanne average 2.2 goals scored and 2.2 conceded across their last 5, FC Thun 1.8 and 2.2 across 5.

Goals forecast for Lausanne vs FC Thun with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

On the goal lines Lausanne vs FC Thun reads 83% for over 1.5, 61% for over 2.5 and 39% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 39%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 61%, best priced 1.60 at 22Bet.

Both teams to score is 65%: Lausanne find the net in 80% of simulated matches and FC Thun in 79%. Lausanne keep a clean sheet 21% of the time and FC Thun 20%.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 65%.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 10.5%, then 2-1 at 8.5% and 1-2 at 8.2%.

Even the leading scoreline holds only 10.5% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Lausanne, full-time Lausanne leads at 24%. A goal before the break is rated 76%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.